tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-50048248162509118472024-03-12T16:54:24.951-07:00Garth Turner - Greater "What" - Exactly ? A factual study into the accuracy of Garth Turner's Financial Predictions over the last 3 decadesUnknownnoreply@blogger.comBlogger62125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5004824816250911847.post-90810656545344055832013-01-28T22:40:00.000-08:002013-02-03T14:22:54.912-08:00About this Website<div style="text-align: justify;">
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEi_cV7GrXPP0YqeAj2RK5HihtghqhfQDwn6xuw-3gxmbqbOWrAiN_kjp7ab-6LLkf9j4rgEe2-NNChQLAdY8LK4pv_A_-tkNi-v7pUdt6huiENLehfAmU8jUZ7IK_7Y69JWX18K2Z6TMNM/s1600/100percent.png" imageanchor="1" style="clear: right; float: right; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: 1em;"><span style="font-family: Georgia, Times New Roman, serif;"><img border="0" height="207" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEi_cV7GrXPP0YqeAj2RK5HihtghqhfQDwn6xuw-3gxmbqbOWrAiN_kjp7ab-6LLkf9j4rgEe2-NNChQLAdY8LK4pv_A_-tkNi-v7pUdt6huiENLehfAmU8jUZ7IK_7Y69JWX18K2Z6TMNM/s320/100percent.png" width="320" /></span></a></div>
<span style="font-family: Georgia, Times New Roman, serif;">So this is the final post, the idiots just wanted to summarize the whole site for anybody new who hasn't been following along and arrives to find millions of wierd trading posts very clearly written by idiots.</span><br />
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<span style="text-align: justify;">Basically, Garth Turner has a very bad attitude on his own blog, censoring and deleting any comments that contain facts that significantly challenge his <a href="http://garthturnergreaterfraud.blogspot.ca/2013/01/the-real-reason-garth-turner-blogs.html">ongoing sales effort</a>. This</span><span style="text-align: justify;"><i> </i>is ok, if not exactly good internet etiquette, as it is after all <i>his</i> blog and financial sales business, but for one with such a poor track record himself, he shouldn't really be saying things like this:</span></span></div>
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<i style="background-color: #cccccc;"><span style="font-family: Georgia, Times New Roman, serif;">"<a href="http://www.greaterfool.ca/2012/12/21/final-thoughts/" style="color: blue; text-decoration: initial;">Day traders are idiots</a>. Professional stock brokers are going deservedly extinct. </span></i></blockquote>
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<i style="background-color: #cccccc;"><span style="font-family: Georgia, Times New Roman, serif;">...And don’t get me started on <a href="http://garthturnergreaterfraud.blogspot.com/2013/01/garth-turners-mutual-fund-flip-flopping.html" style="color: blue; text-decoration: initial;">mutual fund salesguys</a>"</span></i></blockquote>
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<span style="font-family: Georgia, Times New Roman, serif;">Because if he <i>hadn't</i>, a <a href="http://garthturnergreaterfraud.blogspot.ca/p/about-us-idiots.html">certain bunch of idiots</a> who all thought he is a fool anyway, half of whom have personally been censored over the years themselves, <i>wouldn't </i>have decided to get together and research his history <i>accurately,</i> document it all <i>thoroughly</i>, and then leave it out there for anybody to draw their own conclusions as a permanent internet slap to his ego, <i>just</i> because they could. </span></div>
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjJ64Pxk8EQV7CLeKwOkK3ZlyC3BXSLwsHb5m2f9fMM0VbrfY9d_cKX7KvogaKghTgfpbBmyADYxMrm4QuymGQVVStFh-N-OaaYgyVULpXwAmsNSaZFCrFRo2E6RrbIb5RyK77Ypz-EzpI/s1600/garth-tumer.png" imageanchor="1" style="clear: right; float: right; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: 1em;"><span style="font-family: Georgia, Times New Roman, serif;"><img border="0" height="210" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjJ64Pxk8EQV7CLeKwOkK3ZlyC3BXSLwsHb5m2f9fMM0VbrfY9d_cKX7KvogaKghTgfpbBmyADYxMrm4QuymGQVVStFh-N-OaaYgyVULpXwAmsNSaZFCrFRo2E6RrbIb5RyK77Ypz-EzpI/s320/garth-tumer.png" width="320" /></span></a></div>
<span style="font-family: Georgia, Times New Roman, serif;">But that is <i>exactly</i> what happened. Where it started to take on a life of it's own was when the research started to show that almost <a href="http://garthturnergreaterfraud.blogspot.ca/p/garths-predictions.html"><i>everything </i>the idiots <i>ever</i> found out about Turner predicting, was ultimately wrong</a>.</span><br />
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<span style="font-family: Georgia, Times New Roman, serif;">The more they looked, the more they found, <i>all </i>wrong. They even <a href="http://garthturnergreaterfraud.blogspot.ca/2013/01/garth-turner-was-right-lulz.html">asked Google if "Garth Turner was right" - <b>much</b> hilarity ensued</a>. </span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Georgia, Times New Roman, serif;">They <a href="http://garthturnergreaterfraud.blogspot.ca/2013/01/anti-turner-etf-theoretical-returns.html">went back and looked at likely payouts simply by fading his advice</a> over the years and realized (seriously) an Anti-Turner ETF running since the 80s would be a $billion fund, with one perfect trade after another. </span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Georgia, Times New Roman, serif;">One <a href="http://garthturnergreaterfraud.blogspot.ca/2013/01/what-garth-turner-doesnt-understand.html">Saturday morning in 2013</a> one of the idiots read that he was bullish on stocks (at the top, obviously, like <i>every</i> <a href="http://garthturnergreaterfraud.blogspot.ca/2012/12/contrarian-investing-techniques-by.html">contrarian investor lol</a>) and so the idiots took an immediate theoretical short position in opposition.</span></div>
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEitmI2Cwb3zc7qRn3Yp889pTAglTbFFVfTnexly0TwVH0v3eA-gM5wd00FgAACDPHs7ChWmgEQX8UKu5fA0wEaTN1dKAJ3rT0uEhLIoWUM10ChZJbpnLqKElJxC2JYG4UkSRp923q8QTeE/s320/ATETF.png" imageanchor="1" style="clear: right; float: right; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: 1em;"><span style="font-family: Georgia, Times New Roman, serif;"><img border="0" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEitmI2Cwb3zc7qRn3Yp889pTAglTbFFVfTnexly0TwVH0v3eA-gM5wd00FgAACDPHs7ChWmgEQX8UKu5fA0wEaTN1dKAJ3rT0uEhLIoWUM10ChZJbpnLqKElJxC2JYG4UkSRp923q8QTeE/s320/ATETF.png" /></span></a></div>
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<span style="background-color: lime; font-family: Georgia, Times New Roman, serif; font-size: large;"><a href="http://garthturnergreaterfraud.blogspot.ca/p/anti-turner-etf.html">And the Anti_Turner ETF was born</a> </span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Georgia, Times New Roman, serif;">When the markets opened the next week and the Dow plummeted 100 points in 2 days, the idiots decided he still has the magic, and they should seriously have a look at equities in case "Turner's Top " as it came to be known was about to become very profitable. </span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Georgia, Times New Roman, serif;">So the idiots then<a href="http://garthturnergreaterfraud.blogspot.ca/2013/01/anti-turner-etf-theoretical-returns.html"> live (test) traded the DOW & S&P</a> side by side in the ETF and made <a href="http://garthturnergreaterfraud.blogspot.ca/2013/01/thank-you-and-goodnight.html"><b style="background-color: lime;">+</b><b style="background-color: lime;"> 28.89%</b></a> in the first three weeks (two really, as week 1 was a stopout at breakeven). Not bad, huh? :) </span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Georgia, Times New Roman, serif;">Its more than <a href="http://garthturnergreaterfraud.blogspot.ca/2013/01/work-it-garth.html">the last 3 years "balanced portfolio growth"</a> Turner is always going on about, in <i>two weeks</i>, banked secure and risk free, again, unlike a balanced portfolio. To be fair, the idiots didn't make that much because equities subsequently fell, they actually made that much trading them against the trend for a laugh, applying basic market principles to new markets turned out much easier than any idiots originally thought.</span><br />
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<span style="font-family: Georgia, Times New Roman, serif;">Over the 2 week period, <i>holders</i> of stocks are<span class="Apple-style-span" style="background-color: lime;"><b> +3%</b></span> up, which <i>could </i>be back to 0% or negative by the end of the week..</span><br />
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<b><span style="font-family: Georgia, Times New Roman, serif;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="background-color: cyan;">Meanwhile a bunch of idiots extracted </span><span class="Apple-style-span" style="background-color: lime;">+28.8%</span><span class="Apple-style-span" style="background-color: cyan;"> straight out of the accounts of buyers, </span><i style="background-color: cyan;">while waiting </i><span style="background-color: cyan;">for it to</span><i style="background-color: cyan;"> actually run</i><span class="Apple-style-span" style="background-color: cyan;"> the way we are pointing.</span></span></b><br />
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<span class="Apple-style-span"><b><span class="Apple-style-span" style="background-color: yellow;">The main point to grasp here is that <a href="http://garthturnergreaterfraud.blogspot.ca/2013/01/will-he-never-learn.html">buying stocks at 50:50 risk reward proposition is a Fool's Game on</a></span><span class="Apple-style-span" style="background-color: yellow;"><a href="http://garthturnergreaterfraud.blogspot.ca/2013/01/will-he-never-learn.html">ly</a>.</span></b></span></span><br />
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<b style="background-color: yellow;"><span style="font-family: Georgia, Times New Roman, serif;"><a href="http://garthturnergreaterfraud.blogspot.ca/2013/01/the-smart-money-idiots-fools.html">You will <i>not</i> find smart money or (successful) idiots taking <i>this</i> bet, <i>ever</i></a><i>.</i></span></b><br />
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<tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;"><b style="background-color: lime;"><span style="font-family: Georgia, Times New Roman, serif;">Note: it's +28.89% now, <strike>few</strike> <i> one</i> more days trading since then..</span></b></td></tr>
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<span style="font-family: Georgia, Times New Roman, serif;">So anyway, the last stuff that will get done on the site is another page with all the <a href="http://garthturnergreaterfraud.blogspot.ca/p/garths-predictions.html">Turner predictions</a> posts on, and one with all the <a href="http://garthturnergreaterfraud.blogspot.ca/p/trading-posts.html">trading posts</a> for easier navigation as it ages. Other than that if you are looking for something specific, try the custom search box top right, it works very well. </span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Georgia, Times New Roman, serif;">The idiots are going back to doing what they normally do now, only they'll be continuing to short equities too moving forwards all the way up to the top <i>and all the way back down, </i>so think of us whenever you see those <b style="background-color: red;">big red lines</b> :) </span></div>
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhY64hpdClIp6FNtDOXmjr27XFxKo7cFjSDBL9o5dk2d_juJBNj_SfmgE3ApLFhviGub0mRysLQwoR1KMdIwDG6Ki4Xlv3-e9t1ZO5Nsw2h4y6FEczd3T9RidSOOPVdliM8Sk6zPq-QtMQ/s1600/antiturner-trade1.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><span style="font-family: Georgia, Times New Roman, serif;"><img border="0" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhY64hpdClIp6FNtDOXmjr27XFxKo7cFjSDBL9o5dk2d_juJBNj_SfmgE3ApLFhviGub0mRysLQwoR1KMdIwDG6Ki4Xlv3-e9t1ZO5Nsw2h4y6FEczd3T9RidSOOPVdliM8Sk6zPq-QtMQ/s1600/antiturner-trade1.png" /></span></a></div>
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<b style="background-color: cyan;"><span style="font-family: Georgia, Times New Roman, serif;">Update (29-Jan-2013) </span></b></div>
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<b style="background-color: lime;"><a href="http://garthturnergreaterfraud.blogspot.ca/2013/01/real-idiot-update.html" style="background-color: lime;"><span style="font-family: Georgia, Times New Roman, serif;">Yesterday (28 Jan) Idiot Daytraders were trading this system live, with 3 winning trades here</span></a></b></div>
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<span class="Apple-style-span" style="background-color: cyan; font-family: Georgia, Times New Roman, serif;">Applying these trades to the ETF previous account figures gives us:</span></div>
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<span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: 15px; font-weight: bold; line-height: 21px;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="background-color: lime; line-height: 21px;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: Georgia, Times New Roman, serif; font-size: medium;">ETF Total $143991 or +43.99% IN ONE MONTH</span></span></span><br />
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<b style="background-color: cyan;"><a href="http://garthturnergreaterfraud.blogspot.ca/p/anti-turner-etf.html" style="background-color: cyan;"><span style="font-family: Georgia, Times New Roman, serif; font-size: x-large;">The Soon-To-Be <i>Legendary</i> Anti_Turner ETF is here</span></a></b><br />
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<span style="background-color: cyan; font-family: Georgia, Times New Roman, serif;">Finally, <a href="http://garthturnergreaterfraud.blogspot.ca/2013/01/week-3-pre-market-alert.html">the ETF was planning on trading Silver last week too, as per here</a>, but the trade did not set up in time..</span></div>
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<span style="background-color: lime; font-family: Georgia, Times New Roman, serif;">However <i>this</i> week it did and <a href="http://garthturnergreaterfraud.blogspot.ca/2013/01/the-idiots-guide-to-fabulous-riches.html">has just hit <b>TP1 ($1 or 100pts) </b>in real life,#Silver #Idiots action @ bottom of page </a></span><br />
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<span style="font-family: Georgia, Times New Roman, serif;"><b style="background-color: cyan;">Update (30-Jan-2013)</b><span style="background-color: cyan;"><b> - </b><b>These win figures applied to the ETF account leave us at a <i>stunning</i>:</b></span></span><br />
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<b style="background-color: lime;"><span style="font-family: Georgia, Times New Roman, serif; font-size: x-large;">ETF Total Now $163991 or +63.99% in one month</span></b></div>
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<b style="background-color: lime;"><span style="font-family: Georgia, Times New Roman, serif;"><span style="font-size: 15px;">with approx another</span><span style="font-size: medium;"> </span><span style="font-size: large;">$22k</span><span style="font-size: 15px;"> in Open (unbanked) float at $32.xx. </span></span></b></div>
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<span class="Apple-style-span" style="line-height: 21px;"><span style="background-color: cyan; font-family: Georgia, Times New Roman, serif;">Some of the <a href="http://garthturnergreaterfraud.blogspot.ca/2013/01/the-idiots-guide-to-fabulous-riches.html">real idiots silver trades</a> hit trailing stops on the remainder (01-31) at $31.71 (91pts) </span></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Georgia, Times New Roman, serif;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="line-height: 21px;"><span style="background-color: cyan;">- </span></span><span class="Apple-style-span" style="line-height: 21px;"><span style="background-color: cyan;">For the sake of the ETF idiots will remain in, 20k long from $30.80 stop at breakeven. </span></span></span></div>
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<span class="Apple-style-span" style="line-height: 21px;"><span style="background-color: cyan; font-family: Georgia, Times New Roman, serif; font-size: large;"><b>Stay tuned for Turner vs #Silver #Idiots #2013</b></span></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Georgia, Times New Roman, serif;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="background-color: cyan; line-height: 21px;">Can</span><span class="Apple-style-span" style="line-height: 21px;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="background-color: cyan;"> </span><b style="background-color: cyan;"><i><span class="Apple-style-span" style="color: blue;">ONE</span></i></b><span class="Apple-style-span" style="background-color: cyan;"> (remaining) 20k Oz long trade on 28th January whoop <b><span class="Apple-style-span" style="color: blue;"><i>another</i> <i>three year'</i>s</span><span class="Apple-style-span" style="color: blue;"> </span></b>balanced portfolio growth in </span></span><span class="Apple-style-span" style="background-color: cyan; line-height: 21px;">#2013 <i>all on it's own</i>? :)</span></span></div>
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhKHIIGlQQ3XZwVY-RbRRMUgdo_tGUOyOs-JnU_s6qr1wWXpFRm6ndpVlpsoPfvZPaNnpTeqmJHV0vwrTXgxHWWmxvLcbkGmAGOm7ywMDytXvKrbauhB8uwDazzba6fti9e04XzwWZXdFo/s1600/thank-you.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><span style="font-family: Georgia, Times New Roman, serif;"><img border="0" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhKHIIGlQQ3XZwVY-RbRRMUgdo_tGUOyOs-JnU_s6qr1wWXpFRm6ndpVlpsoPfvZPaNnpTeqmJHV0vwrTXgxHWWmxvLcbkGmAGOm7ywMDytXvKrbauhB8uwDazzba6fti9e04XzwWZXdFo/s1600/thank-you.png" /></span></a></div>
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<b><span style="color: red; font-family: Georgia, Times New Roman, serif; font-size: x-large;">#Laters #Foolz</span></b></div>
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Unknownnoreply@blogger.com6tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5004824816250911847.post-54909929281879707082013-01-28T07:45:00.000-08:002013-02-01T01:28:49.130-08:00The Smart Money, The Idiots & The Fools<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhnM2nf9cB7eAv_azia9xsFi5OipkBtAN_FQnQq4OUgRsczaSCL9lodbPqJBj5JSM4WAIqX17wQPBYZajC7nvyBRcnLW6XOrsHiGvPPOMSP2Lvgeu6y0AUaL-ME4Ts5lxmYsWYHJL6EDkA/s1600/wise.png" imageanchor="1" style="clear: right; float: right; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: 1em;"><img border="0" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhnM2nf9cB7eAv_azia9xsFi5OipkBtAN_FQnQq4OUgRsczaSCL9lodbPqJBj5JSM4WAIqX17wQPBYZajC7nvyBRcnLW6XOrsHiGvPPOMSP2Lvgeu6y0AUaL-ME4Ts5lxmYsWYHJL6EDkA/s1600/wise.png" /></a></div>
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Ok, so hopefully now having demonstrated to anybody who has taken the time to read through the bountiful <a href="http://garthturnergreaterfraud.blogspot.ca/p/anti-turner-etf.html">trading posts</a> that these idiots have a reasonable (better than the average blog dog, we would wager :) grasp of <i>how</i> it works, if no conclusive proof as to the reasons (they suspect as to) why, the idiots thought a broader view of how it all <i>appears</i> to fit together (to an idiot) might be useful to some. </div>
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<b><span style="font-size: large;">IDIOTS THINK THE GAME IS <i>RIGGED</i></span></b></div>
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<i style="background-color: cyan;"><b>"What the fool believes he sees, the <strike>wise man</strike> idiot has the power, to reason away.."</b></i></div>
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiswQxsbiv1ZRcnb-cj6JHYB_jzPTAV8BU4p-dT_Z6KPHd8lfU1EcVH-f6yzOFH6-xBKys4JKCRJ0WxWBcHldQ4_mBayz3lkQZM3kjUdKXvWKdtsmk1d_RPLBdl_1lDxrQpkEIi4X4mOEo/s1600/smartmoney.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="238" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiswQxsbiv1ZRcnb-cj6JHYB_jzPTAV8BU4p-dT_Z6KPHd8lfU1EcVH-f6yzOFH6-xBKys4JKCRJ0WxWBcHldQ4_mBayz3lkQZM3kjUdKXvWKdtsmk1d_RPLBdl_1lDxrQpkEIi4X4mOEo/s640/smartmoney.png" width="640" /></a></div>
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<b><span style="font-family: inherit; font-size: large;">There are three types of players of the money game, smart money, idiots and fools.</span></b></div>
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<span style="background-color: blue; font-size: large;"><b>The Smart Money</b></span><br />
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<span style="background-color: #eeeeee; font-family: Verdana; line-height: 15px; text-align: start;">I will tell you my secret if you wish. It is this: I never buy at the bottom and I always sell too soon. – Baron Rothschild, </span><a href="http://www.amazon.com/gp/product/0471770884?ie=UTF8&tag=guitcom-20&linkCode=as2&camp=1789&creative=9325&creativeASIN=0471770884" style="background-color: #eeeeee; border: 0px; color: #0066cc; font-family: Verdana; line-height: 15px; text-align: start; text-decoration: initial;">Reminiscences of a Stock Operator</a></blockquote>
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To start with, understand that you cannot "be" smart money, without <i>having </i>smart money. You need to have almost infinite resources available, the financial power to trend markets, and to design develop and deploy terminators.<br />
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<span class="Apple-style-span" style="background-color: #eeeeee;">(There has been a lot of jesting about "Termy" as he's affectionately known to the idiots who joust with him <b>daily</b>, however the idiots are <i><b>deadly</b></i> serious - </span><span style="background-color: #eeeeee;"><a href="http://www.nanex.net/">Nanex is the authority</a>, but there's a <a href="http://red-pill.org/hft-algos-cause-flash-crashes/">decent overview with cool pics here</a> - Only yesterday <a href="http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2013-01-25/apples-flash-dump-last-second-trading-caught-tape">Terminators were active in the closing seconds of AAPL</a>. How many fools bought it at $500-700+ and have been <i><b>seriously</b></i> banked over a one year cycle, never mind in the closing milliseconds of the day yesterday? <b> Terminator <i>is very much</i> out there.) </b></span></blockquote>
Otherwise you are just smart, and more <i>likely</i> an idiot than a fool. On the other hand not all "money" is smart, in fact quite the opposite. The fundamental thing to understand is that the smarts <i><b>drive</b></i> the market trend. They are <i>always</i> the other side of the helix from the idiots and fools, and if idiots and fools are buying, smart money is <i>selling</i> to them.</div>
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Logically therefore, if smart money is selling something that is going up, they are losing on that trade, all the time it continues going up..? And smart money, <i>does not </i>lose. So having been selling into all the buying pressure all the way<i> </i>up, eventually the buyers will run out, the trend reverses, and idiots and fools get banked. Was the trend <i>actually</i> your friend after all?<br />
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<tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjIHGwhmgRA0K78hEC44GTr55UpvABU3kFdO57VqjoEKr0fpv-48qULh7T9UUwpy5HDfCQpj7DwF56jJwo_lD0WNfk-xlNNNvGQ33EIS-aykZE7CtAfITP3LXImBzZJDlPLAHjFN2Fv6jg/s1600/shortlong.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" height="294" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjIHGwhmgRA0K78hEC44GTr55UpvABU3kFdO57VqjoEKr0fpv-48qULh7T9UUwpy5HDfCQpj7DwF56jJwo_lD0WNfk-xlNNNvGQ33EIS-aykZE7CtAfITP3LXImBzZJDlPLAHjFN2Fv6jg/s640/shortlong.png" width="640" /></a></td></tr>
<tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;"><b style="background-color: cyan;">This Terminator manoeuvre is known as "Crazy Ivan"</b></td></tr>
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This same cycle plays out everywhere there is financial activity, but <i>nowhere</i> is it more apparent than electronic "Markets". The cycle plays continually and forever, at all levels, from patterns that repeat every few minutes, through hours, days, weeks and <i>years. </i>Smart money is also <i>old</i> money and play a very long inter-generational game too. </div>
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This cycle is <i>fundamental</i> to understanding the way it works. You may dismiss it as conspiracy theory if you like, but this understanding is the basis of our trading system, which we think have shown, also, mostly works<i>? </i><br />
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<span style="font-size: large;"><b style="background-color: #b45f06;">The Idiots - "The Power to <i>Reason </i>Away" </b></span><br />
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Idiots may or may not be smart. Many are not that bright. Many idiots are no better off than fools ultimately, for a greater understanding does not help them if not applied effectively. Many successful idiots are also just lucky, right place and time, or school and upbringing etc.<br />
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What successful idiots mostly have, that fools do not, is the ability to see past the facade and grasp at least <i>some</i> of what the game actually is, although inability to actually <i>do</i> anything about it is often the downfall of many idiots.<br />
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However, the one thing all successful idiots do appreciate that fools do not, is that the <i>only</i> way to win longterm is to try and play <i>the way</i> the smarts play. Which is easier said than done, given the lack of smarts, <i>and </i>money, and you <i>cannot</i> find out what "smart money" <i>is</i> <i>doing</i>, by reading it in Investors Weekly at Starbucks.<br />
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What you have seen <a href="http://garthturnergreaterfraud.blogspot.ca/p/anti-turner-etf.html">here this last two weeks</a> is a raw display of the retraining of every natural instinct common to humans, that is <i>required</i> to become a successful idiot, i.e. when something is going <i>up</i>, fools rush to <i>buy.. </i><br />
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<b><span style="background-color: cyan; font-size: large;">These idiots instead ask, "<i>who</i> is selling?"</span></b><br />
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<span style="background-color: white;">Until you have tried pressing a button to activate a short into a spiking market and <i>watching your money vaporize into the ether in seconds </i>a few times, it is <i>very</i> difficult to understand <i>quite</i> how hard "selling high" can be. </span><br />
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgxx40fey_-zXzoYgi26WJVmdjqiGz42t7dn2i3lKOuxCK4_yofv95fijhgirBfFc7wcPr19SbmGHlhcWVS16qjTSbcNfbuK9j-p-gWliEyk7BSt9Gcc4J28cA_a8Se9z5kGXQgXcR1ETc/s1600/banked.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgxx40fey_-zXzoYgi26WJVmdjqiGz42t7dn2i3lKOuxCK4_yofv95fijhgirBfFc7wcPr19SbmGHlhcWVS16qjTSbcNfbuK9j-p-gWliEyk7BSt9Gcc4J28cA_a8Se9z5kGXQgXcR1ETc/s1600/banked.png" /></a></div>
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<a href="http://garthturnergreaterfraud.blogspot.ca/2013/01/the-idiots-guide-to-fabulous-riches.html" style="background-color: cyan;"><b>(NB: SilverMan's post - this<i> particular</i> idiot is most likely richer than anybody you know)</b></a><br />
<span class="Apple-style-span" style="background-color: cyan;">And here is the same chart after the patiently lurking idiot interception and on the way back up..</span><br />
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEh72OGEluD5tgMluvQuQyUv2eVRFwsVdP46S9jK1tFsJkRXGAmPEGrwm6y-LSI6M3LpOOGB4OfAmzc7yodt7OgZTxElICn4A8zI_fVElioJInj5cDuCyFo-c-BEMdk50x882UIzlz-1s5U/s1600/silver-idiot-interception.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEh72OGEluD5tgMluvQuQyUv2eVRFwsVdP46S9jK1tFsJkRXGAmPEGrwm6y-LSI6M3LpOOGB4OfAmzc7yodt7OgZTxElICn4A8zI_fVElioJInj5cDuCyFo-c-BEMdk50x882UIzlz-1s5U/s1600/silver-idiot-interception.png" /></a></div>
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEh8eAgLpCoCFwAqrCvUx6ZxnpHCn7VY73St5Ae4ulBabeqP4yzVl4n_cuF0gU8OQGMoZwQWRNb6k1-qjEDV4knimE-10dGAqcR4d_W3Wl2Nqe3reFP_rakmqBPLzWk6INzj-gbbftZU1I0/s1600/silver-idiots-win-win.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEh8eAgLpCoCFwAqrCvUx6ZxnpHCn7VY73St5Ae4ulBabeqP4yzVl4n_cuF0gU8OQGMoZwQWRNb6k1-qjEDV4knimE-10dGAqcR4d_W3Wl2Nqe3reFP_rakmqBPLzWk6INzj-gbbftZU1I0/s1600/silver-idiots-win-win.png" /></a></div>
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<i>Which</i> leads us nicely onto..<br />
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<span style="font-size: large;"><b><span class="Apple-style-span" style="background-color: yellow;">The Fools.</span><span class="Apple-style-span" style="background-color: yellow;"> </span></b></span><span class="Apple-style-span" style="background-color: yellow; font-size: large;">An unfortunate statistic says that 95% of the world are in this category.</span><br />
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That means 95 out of 100 of you reading this are, which of you think you are in the 5%? How are your critical thinking skills? <a href="http://garthturnergreaterfraud.blogspot.ca/2013/01/the-idiots-guide-to-alternative.html">Fancy trying your hand against the market</a>? It would be quite an eye opener, the idiots assure you.<br />
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The Fool's primary problem is that he <i>thinks</i> that he is wise. Fools believe what they read, and think they understand all that they see, and can make total sense of the world around them. They court audiences and delight in explaining the mysteries of the world to less "fortunate" others.<br />
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<a href="http://garthturnergreaterfraud.blogspot.ca/2013/01/the-idiots-guide-to-risk-management.html"><i>Only</i> fools think they can predict longterm outcomes from an irrational, unstable, dynamic and chaotic system</a>. Maths and probability theory applied to this scenario suggests otherwise, never mind history.<br />
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So secure in his deep knowledge and understanding of the world and all things around him (information supplied by smart money enterprises<span style="background-color: white; font-family: sans-serif; font-size: 13px; line-height: 19.1875px; text-align: left;">™ </span>) he boldly predicts the future and acts upon his visions.<br />
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<a href="http://cdn.backyardchickens.com/e/e4/500x362px-LL-e4305453_funny-pictures-history-whos-the-fool.jpeg" imageanchor="1" style="clear: right; float: right; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: 1em;"><img border="0" height="288" src="http://cdn.backyardchickens.com/e/e4/500x362px-LL-e4305453_funny-pictures-history-whos-the-fool.jpeg" width="400" /></a>Many will delight in bragging about their investments for a while, then go quiet for a year or two when caught in yet another foolish bursting bubble, only to reinvent themselves again on the next crest, as having <i>always </i>been successful and correct about the future, and think no one will notice. (idiots might)<br />
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Now it <i>is</i> true some fools just get lucky (right place right time) and some do ok by dogged hard work, e.g. flipping houses into a continually rising market for years, however if they are ultimately <i>caught</i> by the bursting bubble, they're definitely just fools who were lucky for a while.<br />
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Most fools might even notice prices rising for a time, but not act until Auntie Maud at the filling station mentions <i>she</i> just bought some, "and look the price<i> is</i> going up after all.." <br />
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A fool and his money ARE easily parted. Statistically fools buy high, and sell low. The fools who trade (trainee idiots) are the "Stupids" we've referred to in the trading pics, <i>they</i> are buying above the stupids line and getting banked. As their longs are stopped out and they are selling back lower, <i>we sold high and buy back from them. </i><br />
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People say it's almost impossible to "time the market". Well <i>actually </i>:) - not if you know what you're doing it isn't, but over the long term it is <i>very</i> difficult to beat the market, fortunately for idiots it's quite easy to tag along with it as banks the fools sometimes. Like the fat friends meeting a bear (terminator) in the woods, idiots don't <i>have</i> to run faster than the bear, just faster than the<i> fools</i>.<br />
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<span class="Apple-style-span" style="background-color: yellow;"><b>U</b><b>nderstand, this is 90+% of <i>all</i> (non market-making) traders on the losing side</b>, <b>your Mutual Funds, your Pension Funds your "Portfolio Re-balancers" etc, just because somebody does it for a living, does <i>not</i> mean they always win, <i>far</i> from it. Often they could care less, its not <i>their</i> money, they just get another job somewhere else.</b></span><br />
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<b style="background-color: cyan;"><i>These</i> idiots make every effort to be facing 180 degrees to the stupids at all times, and are <i>selling above </i>the stupids line,<i> betting against the fools,</i> in line with the (hopefully) inevitable banking trip to come.</b></div>
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<b style="background-color: cyan;">Its really not<i> so</i> hard to understand, at least not unless you are a total fool. </b></div>
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<br />Unknownnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5004824816250911847.post-63878290734941528852013-01-28T07:43:00.001-08:002013-02-08T04:03:35.169-08:00Real Idiot UpdateThe week just started off <i>too well</i> <i>not</i> to.. :)<br />
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<tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjStDq96xSRTfNKNs8bCuS3Vq7vDttR4ydcsnWgRAEwxSMwIhDLZPYg96c6-srN9cBNBJbC-F3grA5yVSt8xduNpXs8EQ8XpMqVwBqRWoTA_VcpE9wnyULK7zDxMHfq9FGZPcIb4ZEumNw/s1600/real-idiots-attack.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" height="294" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjStDq96xSRTfNKNs8bCuS3Vq7vDttR4ydcsnWgRAEwxSMwIhDLZPYg96c6-srN9cBNBJbC-F3grA5yVSt8xduNpXs8EQ8XpMqVwBqRWoTA_VcpE9wnyULK7zDxMHfq9FGZPcIb4ZEumNw/s640/real-idiots-attack.png" width="640" /></a></td></tr>
<tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;"><b style="background-color: lime;">Click to enlarge the Idiocy</b></td></tr>
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhCmA1eBwJu-nNNNH0lpQnWYhPh-RWTIyr58ud4ziPQqW8gAU5bT0Ja_Z-qLYdMwJpkfGtNUr1mJYnPkA56LHFCDLk60LR94SLZXorIwfk1X8KU-tUaSVdrAaomXjb-XqZ29GTFTtkR0yg/s1600/fadingforreal.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="294" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhCmA1eBwJu-nNNNH0lpQnWYhPh-RWTIyr58ud4ziPQqW8gAU5bT0Ja_Z-qLYdMwJpkfGtNUr1mJYnPkA56LHFCDLk60LR94SLZXorIwfk1X8KU-tUaSVdrAaomXjb-XqZ29GTFTtkR0yg/s640/fadingforreal.png" width="640" /></a></div>
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<span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: large;">Mr Turner, the idiots salute you. </span><br />
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NB apologies if the idiots actually took anybody's money for real today, its not personal, you're just the opposition, and <a href="http://garthturnergreaterfraud.blogspot.ca/2013/01/will-he-never-learn.html">the idiots <i>have</i> been trying to warn you</a>. Idiots aren't generally all that big on predictions about the future, but there is one that they would make and stick by, and that is that in the (comparatively well informed) opinion of a bunch of idiots:<br />
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<span style="background-color: lime; font-size: large;"><a href="http://garthturnergreaterfraud.blogspot.ca/2013/01/the-smart-money-idiots-fools.html">The majority of you can<i> never </i>win this game</a>. it's best just not to play with stocks.</span><br />
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This was definitely the idiot swansong, they just wanted to let you know it's all good. To see the final figures of these trades applied to the ETF at the right risk reward levels, see<b><span class="Apple-style-span" style="background-color: white;"> </span><a href="http://garthturnergreaterfraud.blogspot.ca/p/anti-turner-etf.html" style="background-color: lime;">The Anti_Turner ETF</a></b></div>
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<span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: Georgia, Utopia, 'Palatino Linotype', Palatino, serif; line-height: 21px;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="background-color: white;"><b><br /></b></span></span></div>
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<span class="Apple-style-span" style="background-color: lime; font-family: Georgia, Utopia, 'Palatino Linotype', Palatino, serif; line-height: 21px;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: large;">ETF Total $143991 or +43.99% IN ONE MONTH</span></span></div>
<span class="Apple-style-span" style="background-color: lime; font-family: Georgia, Utopia, 'Palatino Linotype', Palatino, serif; font-size: large; font-style: italic; font-weight: bold; line-height: 21px;">
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<span class="Apple-style-span" style="background-color: lime; font-family: Georgia, Utopia, 'Palatino Linotype', Palatino, serif; font-style: italic; font-weight: bold; line-height: 21px;"></span><br />
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<span class="Apple-style-span" style="background-color: lime; font-family: Georgia, Utopia, 'Palatino Linotype', Palatino, serif; font-style: italic; font-weight: bold; line-height: 21px;"><b style="background-color: yellow;">With 52 contracts total still short stops at breakeven ie NO RISK</b></span></div>
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<span class="Apple-style-span" style="background-color: lime; font-family: Georgia, Utopia, 'Palatino Linotype', Palatino, serif; font-style: italic; font-weight: bold; line-height: 21px;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="background-color: cyan;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: medium;"><i>What</i> a phenomenal bunch of f'in idiots</span></span></span></div>
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<span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: Georgia, Utopia, 'Palatino Linotype', Palatino, serif; font-style: italic; font-weight: bold; line-height: 21px;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEi4p2eRQ9zMaft8CtDbfJP2SsIekpx_AXaywXRMAZmOYj975aL2qZcMnPLzgexv8yT-BSxY5-Vbxxob4fmSf2ktXONbfy5PhoHrtHASrOjM0UdsyIJc-OcwIWASjXGbvIA1c6AoH-eF2IQ/s1600/thankyou.png" imageanchor="1" style="background-color: white; font-family: 'Times New Roman'; line-height: normal; margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em; text-align: center;"><img border="0" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEi4p2eRQ9zMaft8CtDbfJP2SsIekpx_AXaywXRMAZmOYj975aL2qZcMnPLzgexv8yT-BSxY5-Vbxxob4fmSf2ktXONbfy5PhoHrtHASrOjM0UdsyIJc-OcwIWASjXGbvIA1c6AoH-eF2IQ/s1600/thankyou.png" /></a></span></div>
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<span class="Apple-style-span" style="background-color: cyan;">01 Feb 2013 End of Week 4</span></div>
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<span class="Apple-style-span" style="background-color: cyan;"><b>And finally a Friday round up of the week's real idiot silver Action </b></span></div>
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEh8eAgLpCoCFwAqrCvUx6ZxnpHCn7VY73St5Ae4ulBabeqP4yzVl4n_cuF0gU8OQGMoZwQWRNb6k1-qjEDV4knimE-10dGAqcR4d_W3Wl2Nqe3reFP_rakmqBPLzWk6INzj-gbbftZU1I0/s1600/silver-idiots-win-win.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEh8eAgLpCoCFwAqrCvUx6ZxnpHCn7VY73St5Ae4ulBabeqP4yzVl4n_cuF0gU8OQGMoZwQWRNb6k1-qjEDV4knimE-10dGAqcR4d_W3Wl2Nqe3reFP_rakmqBPLzWk6INzj-gbbftZU1I0/s1600/silver-idiots-win-win.png" style="cursor: move;" /></a></div>
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<span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: Georgia, Utopia, 'Palatino Linotype', Palatino, serif; line-height: 21px;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: 'Times New Roman'; line-height: normal;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: Georgia, Utopia, 'Palatino Linotype', Palatino, serif; line-height: 21px;"><span style="background-color: cyan;">Some of the <a href="http://garthturnergreaterfraud.blogspot.ca/2013/01/the-idiots-guide-to-fabulous-riches.html" style="color: blue; text-decoration: initial;">real idiots silver trades</a> hit trailing stops on the remainder (01-31) at $31.71 (91pts) </span></span></span></span></div>
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<span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: Georgia, Utopia, 'Palatino Linotype', Palatino, serif; line-height: 21px;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: 'Times New Roman'; line-height: normal;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: Georgia, Utopia, 'Palatino Linotype', Palatino, serif; line-height: 21px;"><span style="background-color: cyan;">- </span></span><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: Georgia, Utopia, 'Palatino Linotype', Palatino, serif; line-height: 21px;"><span style="background-color: cyan;">For the sake of the ETF idiots will remain in, 20k long from $30.80 stop at breakeven.</span></span></span></span><br />
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<span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: Georgia, Utopia, 'Palatino Linotype', Palatino, serif; line-height: 21px;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: 'Times New Roman'; line-height: normal;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: Georgia, Utopia, 'Palatino Linotype', Palatino, serif; line-height: 21px;"><span style="background-color: cyan;"><br /></span></span></span></span><span style="background-color: cyan; font-family: Georgia, Utopia, 'Palatino Linotype', Palatino, serif; line-height: 21px;">Idiots think if you haven't got the idea by</span><span style="background-color: cyan;"><span style="font-family: Georgia, Utopia, 'Palatino Linotype', Palatino, serif; line-height: 21px;"> </span><i style="font-family: Georgia, Utopia, 'Palatino Linotype', Palatino, serif; line-height: 21px;">now</i><span style="font-family: Georgia, Utopia, 'Palatino Linotype', Palatino, serif; line-height: 21px;">,</span></span><span style="background-color: cyan; font-family: Georgia, Utopia, 'Palatino Linotype', Palatino, serif; line-height: 21px;"> you're always going to be a fool..</span></div>
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Unknownnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5004824816250911847.post-90175717511153883672013-01-26T14:44:00.000-08:002013-02-07T10:08:23.362-08:00Will He Never Learn?<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="http://www.zerohedge.com/sites/default/files/images/user3303/imageroot/2012/03/20120323_MuppetMaster.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="clear: right; float: right; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: 1em;"><img border="0" height="315" src="http://www.zerohedge.com/sites/default/files/images/user3303/imageroot/2012/03/20120323_MuppetMaster.jpg" width="400" /></a></div>
<span style="font-family: Georgia, 'Times New Roman', serif; text-align: justify;">Intelligence suggests that Mr Turner has probably seen this blog, although as it on blogspot its difficult to be certain. </span><br />
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<span style="font-family: Georgia, Times New Roman, serif;">Then again, maybe <i>not </i>yet, as this is actually <i>quite</i> unbelievable, given Turner's <b>100% perfect record</b> of <i>always</i> being wrong on stocks calls, from the <a href="http://garthturnergreaterfraud.blogspot.ca/2012/12/contrarian-investing-techniques-by.html">1987 crash where he said "stay out" at the very bottom</a>, through the <a href="http://garthturnergreaterfraud.blogspot.ca/2012/12/looking-out-for-your-financial-health.html">tech bubble (Nortel)</a> through the <a href="http://garthturnergreaterfraud.blogspot.ca/2013/01/garth-turners-mutual-fund-flip-flopping.html">Mutual Funds sales years</a>, and <a href="http://garthturnergreaterfraud.blogspot.ca/2012/12/garth-turner-real-estate-prophet.html">DOW 30k call in 1999</a>, <a href="http://garthturnergreaterfraud.blogspot.ca/2013/01/gold-internet-type-too.html">the crash of 2002</a>, <a href="http://garthturnergreaterfraud.blogspot.ca/2013/01/guaranteed-predictions-jan-2006.html"><i>again</i> in 2006</a>, you would <i>really</i> think he would know better than to be advising people to buy into the S&P at just about the <i>top </i>of the range, once <i>more.</i>.</span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Georgia, Times New Roman, serif;"><span style="background-color: #eeeeee;">On Thursday, while Apple stock was being slaughtered, most major US stock markets went up. </span><b style="background-color: yellow;">In fact the S&P 500 is ahead 4.81% in the last three weeks, and 13.7% in the past year. It’s at a level last seen five years ago, and 4% below its all-time peak. The Dow is even closer, dangling just 2% under its best-ever showing in the autumn of 2007. </b></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Georgia, Times New Roman, serif;">Uh huh. Is he <i>really </i>saying what these idiots think he's saying? He wants to buy at the top <i>again</i>, doesn't he? </span><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: Georgia, 'Times New Roman', serif;">As reasonably skilled short-side trading idiots, the data he presents above is <i>tantalizing</i> to us, and of course we will <i>need</i> buyers to <strike>mug</strike> sell to at the very top :)</span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Georgia, Times New Roman, serif;"><span style="background-color: #eeeeee;">This advance has come because of corporate profits and economic growth. Of companies reporting Q4 earnings, like Google and IBM, 73% of them have beat expectations. The latest jobless claims numbers shocked because they were so positive, dropping to a five-year low. In Washington the debt ceiling debate’s turned into the non-event it was always destined to be. In China, manufacturing is growing at the fastest rate in two years. American real estate has bounced off the bottom three years sooner than expected with almost all major markets showing higher sales, rising prices and surging construction. Unemployment across the US is now lower than it is in Toronto, and people in Chicago or Boston can actually afford to buy detached houses in a major city.</span> </span> </div>
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<span style="font-family: Georgia, Times New Roman, serif;">This advance has <i>actually</i> come from trillions in excess reserves the banks are holding rehypothecating and gambling in derivatives, and surging liquidity from never-ending and parabolically accelerating stimulus.</span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Georgia, Times New Roman, serif;"><a href="http://garthturnergreaterfraud.blogspot.ca/2013/01/the-smart-money-idiots-fools.html">Only a fool could believe there is a recovery based on fundamentals a<i>nd try to convince others</i> his plan is the <i>bestest</i> plan</a> once more</span><br />
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<span style="background-color: #eeeeee;"><span style="font-family: Georgia, Times New Roman, serif;">In short, smart people want to own this growth. </span></span></div>
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<span style="background-color: white;"><span style="font-family: Georgia, Times New Roman, serif;">In short, however would Turner know what <a href="http://garthturnergreaterfraud.blogspot.ca/2013/01/the-smart-money-idiots-fools.html">"smart" people</a> want ? </span></span><br />
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<span style="font-family: Georgia, Times New Roman, serif;"><span style="background-color: yellow;">It’s what I told you</span><span style="background-color: #eeeeee;"> to expect a year ago when I sent the metalheads, doomers and Depends set into gales of laughter with my <a href="http://garthturnergreaterfraud.blogspot.ca/2013/01/what-garth-turner-doesnt-understand.html">‘don’t bet against America’</a> routine. Despite its debt and deficit challenges, the US will only augment each month in terms of GDP, jobs created, corporate profits and consumer spending. There will certainly be volatility for investors, </span><span style="background-color: yellow;">but the road ahead seems clear.</span></span></div>
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<span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: Georgia, 'Times New Roman', serif;">Quick question, are these </span><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: Georgia, 'Times New Roman', serif;"><a href="http://garthturnergreaterfraud.blogspot.ca/2013/01/guaranteed-predictions-jan-2006.html">"guaranteed predictions" like in 2006,</a></span><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: Georgia, 'Times New Roman', serif;"> we wonder as he said that then too, and could not really have been more wrong. </span><br />
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<span style="font-family: Georgia, Times New Roman, serif;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: Georgia, Utopia, 'Palatino Linotype', Palatino, serif; font-size: 15px; line-height: 21px;"><i style="background-color: #cccccc;">..A vibrant energy sector, with a pivotal election behind it, and with <span class="Apple-style-span" style="color: red;">a s</span></i><i style="background-color: #cccccc;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="color: red;">trengthening American economy, </span>our <span class="Apple-style-span" style="color: red;">financial markets</span></i><i><span class="Apple-style-span" style="background-color: #cccccc;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="color: red;"> will build</span> on the success of last year, and</span><span class="Apple-style-span" style="background-color: #cccccc;"> </span></i><span class="Apple-style-span" style="background-color: #cccccc;"><i>head <span class="Apple-style-span" style="color: red;">straight into uncharted territory</span></i><i>.</i></span><i style="background-color: white;"> </i><span style="background-color: white;"><a href="http://garthturnergreaterfraud.blogspot.ca/2013/01/guaranteed-predictions-jan-2006.html">Garth Turner Jan 2006</a></span></span></span></blockquote>
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<span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: Georgia, 'Times New Roman', serif;">When challenged by almost certainly the most intelligent of the blog dogs: </span></div>
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<span class="comment_num" style="background-color: white; color: #999999; font-family: Georgia, 'Times New Roman', serif; line-height: 1.8182em; margin: 0px; padding: 0px 0.3636em 0px 0px;"><a href="http://www.greaterfool.ca/2013/01/24/humans-4/#comment-219490" style="color: #999999; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; text-decoration: initial;" title="Permalink to this comment">#29</a></span><span style="background-color: white; color: #999999; font-family: Georgia, 'Times New Roman', serif; line-height: 1.8182em;"> </span><strong style="background-color: white; color: black; font-family: Georgia, 'Times New Roman', serif; line-height: 1.8182em; margin: 0px; padding: 0px;">Canadian Watchdog </strong><span style="background-color: white; color: #999999; font-family: Georgia, 'Times New Roman', serif; line-height: 1.8182em;">on 01.24.13 at 10:12 pm</span><br />
<span style="font-family: Georgia, Times New Roman, serif;">Buy S&P right <a href="http://i48.tinypic.com/10ggv40.png" rel="nofollow" style="border-bottom-style: solid; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-color: rgb(187, 187, 187); color: #777777; margin: 0px; padding: 1px 0px; text-decoration: initial;">here</a> right? Once, twice… you know the rest, unless you believe it <em style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px;">really is</em> different this time again.</span></div>
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<em style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px;"><span style="color: red; font-family: Georgia, Times New Roman, serif;">As part of a diversified portfolio, absolutely. — Garth</span></em></div>
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<span style="font-family: Georgia, Times New Roman, serif;">And here we have it, the whole purpose of the post, the pumping of the <a href="http://garthturnergreaterfraud.blogspot.ca/2013/01/work-it-garth.html">"balanced portfolio"</a> :)</span></div>
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<span class="comment_num" style="background-color: white; color: #999999; font-family: Georgia, 'Times New Roman', serif; line-height: 1.8182em; margin: 0px; padding: 0px 0.3636em 0px 0px;"><a href="http://www.greaterfool.ca/2013/01/24/humans-4/#comment-219500" style="color: #999999; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; text-decoration: initial;" title="Permalink to this comment">#39</a></span><span style="background-color: white; color: #999999; font-family: Georgia, 'Times New Roman', serif; line-height: 1.8182em;"> </span><strong style="background-color: white; color: black; font-family: Georgia, 'Times New Roman', serif; line-height: 1.8182em; margin: 0px; padding: 0px;">AK </strong><span style="background-color: white; color: #999999; font-family: Georgia, 'Times New Roman', serif; line-height: 1.8182em;">on 01.24.13 at 10:28 pm</span><br />
<span style="font-family: Georgia, Times New Roman, serif;">#28 Canadian Watchdog on 01.24.13 at 10:12 pm</span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Georgia, Times New Roman, serif;">“Buy S&P right here right? Once, twice… you know the rest, unless you believe it really is different this time again.”</span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Georgia, Times New Roman, serif;">The S&P 500 today is cheaper than it was back in 2007.</span></div>
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<a href="http://www.baskinfinancial.com/main/stocks-are-cheap/" rel="nofollow" style="border-bottom-style: solid; border-bottom-width: 1px; border-color: rgb(187, 187, 187); color: #777777; margin: 0px; padding: 1px 0px; text-decoration: initial;"><span style="font-family: Georgia, Times New Roman, serif;">http://www.baskinfinancial.com/main/stocks-are-cheap/</span></a></div>
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<em style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px;"><span style="color: red; font-family: Georgia, Times New Roman, serif;">Buying and holding only succeeds with continual rebalancing. In the case of the S&P, this has yielded very substantial gains over this period of time. — Garth</span></em></div>
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgU00SrxdVlC7SEzWPIvdkhG-qSpZS4rOToVKrSvEiT2-DMH2Bx-wPN1_7oucgAIVLHCsuQ8ouEnVZdKfr6pMMLLlq6Hqj-ZaqOPPMm5MK3MAQ1IcccHtDpVbUYySlLpak5NiIy_mZXHH4/s1600/rebalancing.png" imageanchor="1" style="clear: right; float: right; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: 1em;"><img border="0" height="240" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgU00SrxdVlC7SEzWPIvdkhG-qSpZS4rOToVKrSvEiT2-DMH2Bx-wPN1_7oucgAIVLHCsuQ8ouEnVZdKfr6pMMLLlq6Hqj-ZaqOPPMm5MK3MAQ1IcccHtDpVbUYySlLpak5NiIy_mZXHH4/s320/rebalancing.png" width="320" /></a></div>
<span style="font-family: Georgia, Times New Roman, serif;">With of course, the magical mystical secret to wealth, that only Turner knows, "Rebalancing" or "<a href="http://garthturnergreaterfraud.blogspot.ca/p/trading-posts.html">trading</a>" as it's known by everyone else. </span><br />
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<span style="font-family: Georgia, Times New Roman, serif;">With his <i>highly</i> tuned "re-balancing" skills, what could<i> possibly</i> go wrong? </span><br />
<span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: Georgia, 'Times New Roman', serif;"><i><br /></i></span>
<span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: Georgia, 'Times New Roman', serif;"><i>Continual</i> rebalancing as well now, maybe he could give the idiots a lesson or two in "contrarian trading" (idiotsLMFAO) !!!!! </span></div>
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<span class="comment_num" style="background-color: white; color: #999999; font-family: Georgia, 'Times New Roman', serif; line-height: 1.8182em; margin: 0px; padding: 0px 0.3636em 0px 0px;"><a href="http://www.greaterfool.ca/2013/01/24/humans-4/#comment-219536" style="color: #999999; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; text-decoration: initial;" title="Permalink to this comment">#70</a></span><span style="background-color: white; color: #999999; font-family: Georgia, 'Times New Roman', serif; line-height: 1.8182em;"> </span><strong style="background-color: white; color: black; font-family: Georgia, 'Times New Roman', serif; line-height: 1.8182em; margin: 0px; padding: 0px;">Canadian Watchdog </strong><span style="background-color: white; color: #999999; font-family: Georgia, 'Times New Roman', serif; line-height: 1.8182em;">on 01.24.13 at 11:20 pm</span><br />
<span style="font-family: Georgia, 'Times New Roman', serif; line-height: 1.5385em;">#39 AK</span></div>
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<em style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px;"><span style="font-family: Georgia, Times New Roman, serif;">The S&P 500 today is cheaper than it was back in 2007.</span></em></div>
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<span style="font-family: Georgia, Times New Roman, serif;">And ten times more fragile, more concentrated and dominated by high-frequency traders that will suck your profits in nanoseconds when the time comes.</span></div>
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<em style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px;"><span style="color: red; font-family: Georgia, Times New Roman, serif;">You said that last year. — Garth</span></em></div>
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<span style="background-color: white;"><span style="font-family: Georgia, Times New Roman, serif; text-align: justify;">Because a year is <i>such</i> a long time, he couldn't <i>possibly</i> have been right <i>all</i> that time ago, <i>could</i> he? </span><span style="font-family: Georgia, 'Times New Roman', serif; text-align: justify;">It gives us idiots </span><i style="font-family: Georgia, 'Times New Roman', serif; text-align: justify;">great </i><span style="font-family: Georgia, 'Times New Roman', serif; text-align: justify;">pleasure to know Turner is still firmly long at the top, <a href="http://garthturnergreaterfraud.blogspot.ca/2013/01/week-3-trading-round-up.html">as some of the money we extract from fools might actually <i>be</i> from </a></span><i style="font-family: Georgia, 'Times New Roman', serif; text-align: justify;"><a href="http://garthturnergreaterfraud.blogspot.ca/2013/01/week-3-trading-round-up.html">his</a></i><span style="font-family: Georgia, 'Times New Roman', serif; text-align: justify;"><a href="http://garthturnergreaterfraud.blogspot.ca/2013/01/week-3-trading-round-up.html"> balanced diversified portfolios</a> :) </span></span><br />
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<span style="background-color: white;"><span style="font-family: Georgia, Times New Roman, serif;"></span></span></div>
<span style="background-color: white;"><span style="font-family: Georgia, 'Times New Roman', serif; text-align: justify;"><br /></span>
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<span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: Georgia, 'Times New Roman', serif;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: 15px; line-height: 21px;"><b style="background-color: white;"><span class="Apple-style-span">This is the ONLY equities idiots care about, because <i>ask yourself, where</i> did this money come fro</span><span class="Apple-style-span">m</span>?</b></span></span></div>
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<tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;"><b><span style="background-color: white; font-family: Georgia, Times New Roman, serif; font-size: xx-small;">Note error on chart label, figures are end of trade round ups, not end of day strictly, although most were.</span></b></td></tr>
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<span style="background-color: white; font-family: Georgia, 'Times New Roman', serif; font-size: 15px; line-height: 21px; text-align: justify;"><b><span class="Apple-style-span" style="background-color: yellow;"><br /></span></b></span>
<span style="background-color: white; font-family: Georgia, 'Times New Roman', serif; font-size: 15px; line-height: 21px; text-align: justify;"><b><span class="Apple-style-span" style="background-color: yellow;">The main point to grasp here is that <a href="http://garthturnergreaterfraud.blogspot.ca/2013/01/will-he-never-learn.html" style="color: blue; text-decoration: initial;">buying stocks at 50:50 risk reward proposition is a Fool's Game on</a></span><span class="Apple-style-span" style="background-color: yellow;"><a href="http://garthturnergreaterfraud.blogspot.ca/2013/01/will-he-never-learn.html" style="color: blue; text-decoration: initial;">ly</a>.</span></b></span></div>
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<b style="background-color: yellow; font-family: Georgia, Utopia, 'Palatino Linotype', Palatino, serif; font-size: 15px; line-height: 21px; text-align: justify;"><span style="font-family: Georgia, 'Times New Roman', serif;"><a href="http://garthturnergreaterfraud.blogspot.ca/2013/01/the-smart-money-idiots-fools.html" style="color: blue; text-decoration: initial;">You will <i>not</i> find smart money or (successful) idiots taking <i>this</i> bet, <i>ever</i></a><i>.</i></span></b><br />
<b style="background-color: yellow; font-family: Georgia, Utopia, 'Palatino Linotype', Palatino, serif; font-size: 15px; line-height: 21px; text-align: justify;"><span style="font-family: Georgia, 'Times New Roman', serif;"><i><br /></i></span></b>
<b style="font-family: Georgia, Utopia, 'Palatino Linotype', Palatino, serif; font-size: 15px; line-height: 21px; text-align: justify;"><span style="background-color: cyan; font-family: Georgia, 'Times New Roman', serif;">Update 07 Feb 2013</span></b><br />
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<span style="font-family: Georgia, Times New Roman, serif;"><br /></span>Unknownnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5004824816250911847.post-21713415177113846972013-01-26T11:15:00.001-08:002013-01-27T07:50:43.093-08:00Week 3 Trading Round Up<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
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<b style="font-family: Georgia, Utopia, 'Palatino Linotype', Palatino, serif; line-height: 21px;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="background-color: cyan;"><a href="http://garthturnergreaterfraud.blogspot.ca/p/anti-turner-etf.html">Source: The Anti_Turner ETF 14 Jan 2013</a> </span></span></b></div>
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<b style="background-color: yellow; font-family: Georgia, Utopia, 'Palatino Linotype', Palatino, serif; line-height: 21px;"><span style="font-size: large;"> </span>(Account size 100%)</b></div>
<blockquote class="tr_bq" style="text-align: justify;">
<span style="font-family: Georgia, Utopia, 'Palatino Linotype', Palatino, serif; font-size: 15px; line-height: 21px;"><i><span style="background-color: #cccccc;">A suitable target would be +10-20% of the account size from this call over the next few weeks..</span></i></span></blockquote>
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<span style="font-family: Georgia, Utopia, Palatino Linotype, Palatino, serif; font-size: large;"><span style="line-height: 21px;">25th Jan 2013 Account size: </span></span><b style="background-color: lime; font-family: Georgia, 'Times New Roman', serif; font-size: x-large; line-height: 33px; text-align: center;">$128891 or </b><b style="background-color: lime; font-family: Georgia, 'Times New Roman', serif; font-size: x-large; line-height: 33px; text-align: center;">+28.89%</b><b style="background-color: lime; font-family: Georgia, 'Times New Roman', serif; font-size: x-large; line-height: 33px; text-align: center;"> </b></div>
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<span style="font-family: Georgia, Utopia, 'Palatino Linotype', Palatino, serif; font-size: 15px; line-height: 21px;">As with <a href="http://garthturnergreaterfraud.blogspot.ca/2013/01/idiots1-fools0-week-two-trading-round-up.html">last week</a> the statistical analysis idiots always want to pore over how it could have been better, although their adjustments to TP levels from <a href="http://garthturnergreaterfraud.blogspot.ca/2013/01/idiots1-fools0-week-two-trading-round-up.html">last weeks stats</a> didn't seem to hurt <i>too</i></span><span style="font-family: Georgia, Utopia, 'Palatino Linotype', Palatino, serif; font-size: 15px; line-height: 21px;"> much so the rest of the idiots tolerate their nonsense.</span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Georgia, Utopia, 'Palatino Linotype', Palatino, serif; line-height: 21px;"><span style="font-size: large;">Week 3 trade stats compared to last weeks (in)</span></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Georgia, Utopia, Palatino Linotype, Palatino, serif;"><span style="font-size: 15px; line-height: 21px;"><b style="background-color: cyan;">Trades taken: 16 </b>- each trade has three potential profit levels, or can be stopped out at breakeven or a loss</span></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Georgia, Utopia, Palatino Linotype, Palatino, serif;"><span style="font-size: 15px; line-height: 21px;"><b>Results</b></span></span></div>
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<li style="text-align: justify;"><b style="font-family: Georgia, Utopia, 'Palatino Linotype', Palatino, serif; font-size: 15px; line-height: 21px;">Trade + TP1: <span style="background-color: lime;"> 8 </span><span style="background-color: white;"> </span><span style="background-color: lime;">(4)</span></b></li>
<li style="text-align: justify;"><b style="font-family: Georgia, Utopia, 'Palatino Linotype', Palatino, serif; font-size: 15px; line-height: 21px;">Trade + TP2: <span style="background-color: lime;"> 1 </span><span style="background-color: white;"> </span><span style="background-color: lime;">(1)</span></b></li>
<li style="text-align: justify;"><b style="font-family: Georgia, Utopia, 'Palatino Linotype', Palatino, serif; font-size: 15px; line-height: 21px;">Trade + TP3: <span style="background-color: yellow;"> 0 </span><span style="background-color: white;"> </span></b></li>
<li style="text-align: justify;"><b style="font-family: Georgia, Utopia, 'Palatino Linotype', Palatino, serif; font-size: 15px; line-height: 21px;">Stopped (even):</b><span style="background-color: yellow; font-family: Georgia, Utopia, 'Palatino Linotype', Palatino, serif; font-size: 15px; font-weight: bold; line-height: 21px;"> 8 </span><span style="font-family: Georgia, Utopia, 'Palatino Linotype', Palatino, serif; font-size: 15px; line-height: 21px;">- every single one of these was in profit, & gave it back holding out for more</span></li>
<li style="text-align: justify;"><b style="font-family: Georgia, Utopia, 'Palatino Linotype', Palatino, serif; font-size: 15px; line-height: 21px;">Stopped (loss): <span style="background-color: red;"> 5 </span></b></li>
<li style="text-align: justify;"><b style="font-family: Georgia, Utopia, 'Palatino Linotype', Palatino, serif; font-size: 15px; line-height: 21px;">Max total risk at any one time <span style="background-color: lime;">3%.</span> <span style="background-color: red;">(4%)</span> </b><b style="font-family: Georgia, Utopia, 'Palatino Linotype', Palatino, serif; font-size: 15px; line-height: 21px;">Usual risk<span style="background-color: red;"> 2-3%</span> <span style="background-color: lime;">(1-2%)</span></b></li>
<li style="text-align: justify;"><b style="font-family: Georgia, Utopia, 'Palatino Linotype', Palatino, serif; font-size: 15px; line-height: 21px;">Account +/- <span style="background-color: lime;">+18.84%</span><span style="background-color: white;"> </span><span style="background-color: lime;">(10.05%)</span><span style="background-color: white;"> </span><span style="background-color: cyan;">(+87%!! - do we get a bonus?)</span></b></li>
<li style="text-align: justify;"><b style="font-family: Georgia, Utopia, 'Palatino Linotype', Palatino, serif; font-size: 15px; line-height: 21px;">Total trades win rate: 8 / 16 or <span style="background-color: red;">50%</span><span style="background-color: white;"> </span><span style="background-color: lime;">(57%)</span><span style="background-color: white;"> </span></b></li>
<li style="text-align: justify;"><b style="font-family: Georgia, Utopia, 'Palatino Linotype', Palatino, serif; font-size: 15px; line-height: 21px;">Total (tranche) win rate 9 / 48 possible tranche wins =<span style="background-color: red;"> 18.75%</span> (<span style="background-color: lime;">23.8%)</span></b></li>
<li style="text-align: justify;"><b style="font-family: Georgia, Utopia, 'Palatino Linotype', Palatino, serif; font-size: 15px; line-height: 21px;">Max Risk / Real win ratio: 18.84 / 3 = <span style="background-color: lime;"> 6.28 : 1</span><span style="background-color: white;"> </span><span style="background-color: red;"> (2.53:1)</span></b></li>
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<span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: Georgia, 'Times New Roman', serif;">Nobody can be arsed to go through a blow-by-blow account, its all in the ETF, but in summary</span><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: Georgia, 'Times New Roman', serif;"><span style="background-color: white; font-size: 15px; line-height: 21px; text-align: justify;"> we had 8 of 16 trades hit TP1, one of them went on to hit TP2, five losses, and multiple part tranches come back and get stopped out at zero. (again) </span></span><br />
<span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: Georgia, 'Times New Roman', serif;"><span style="background-color: white; font-size: 15px; line-height: 21px;"><br /></span></span>
<span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: Georgia, 'Times New Roman', serif;"><span style="background-color: white; font-size: 15px; line-height: 21px;">Did the floor fall out from under our shorts <i>this</i> week? No. </span></span><span style="font-family: Georgia, Times New Roman, serif;"><span style="background-color: white; font-size: 15px; line-height: 21px;">Did we <i>even more </i>methodically bank money than last week, whilst waiting for a/the big win?</span><b style="font-size: 15px; line-height: 21px;"> </b></span><br />
<span style="font-family: Georgia, Times New Roman, serif;"><span style="font-size: 15px; line-height: 21px;"><br /></span></span>
<span style="font-family: Georgia, Times New Roman, serif;"><span style="font-size: 15px; line-height: 21px;">And what's going on <i>here</i> then? ..</span></span><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: Georgia, 'Times New Roman', serif;"><span style="font-size: 15px; line-height: 21px;">Won only 50% instead of last weeks 57%, yet banked 87% more? </span></span><br />
<blockquote class="tr_bq">
<span class="Apple-style-span" style="background-color: cyan; font-family: Georgia, 'Times New Roman', serif;"><span style="font-size: 15px; line-height: 21px;"><i>What</i></span> kind of witchcraft is <i>this</i>? :) </span></blockquote>
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<span style="font-family: Georgia, 'Times New Roman', serif; font-size: 15px; line-height: 21px;">Welcome to the world of trading risk management analysis and optimization by those who <i>do</i> know what they are talking about. </span><span style="font-family: Georgia, 'Times New Roman', serif; font-size: 15px; line-height: 21px;">A higher activity rate whilst systematically tuning the plan to fit the range of the market better, means idiots can tighten stop-losses with more confidence, thereby increasing position size, while </span><i style="font-family: Georgia, 'Times New Roman', serif; font-size: 15px; line-height: 21px;">maintaining the same absolute risk</i><span style="font-family: Georgia, 'Times New Roman', serif; font-size: 15px; line-height: 21px;">, and </span><i style="font-family: Georgia, 'Times New Roman', serif; font-size: 15px; line-height: 21px;">hugely</i><span style="font-family: Georgia, 'Times New Roman', serif; font-size: 15px; line-height: 21px;"> increasing risk:reward. </span></div>
<span style="font-family: Georgia, 'Times New Roman', serif; font-size: 15px; line-height: 21px; text-align: justify;"><br /></span>
<span style="font-family: Georgia, 'Times New Roman', serif; font-size: 15px; line-height: 21px; text-align: justify;">Tuning TPs to extract a higher percentage of cash from the winners, </span><span style="font-family: Georgia, 'Times New Roman', serif; font-size: 15px; line-height: 21px; text-align: justify;">and increasing confidence in setups as idiots get to know the market better (two weeks LOL!) helped too. </span><br />
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<span style="font-family: Georgia, Times New Roman, serif; font-size: large;"><b><span style="background-color: cyan; line-height: 21px; text-align: justify;"><i>This</i> week meant </span><span style="line-height: 21px; text-align: justify;"><span style="background-color: lime;"><i>less </i>wins, </span><i style="background-color: red;">more losses</i><span style="background-color: red;">,</span><span style="background-color: cyan;"> and </span><span style="background-color: lime;"><i>way better money.</i></span></span></b></span><br />
<span style="font-family: Georgia, Utopia, 'Palatino Linotype', Palatino, serif; font-size: 15px; line-height: 21px; text-align: justify;"><br /></span>
<span style="font-family: Georgia, Utopia, 'Palatino Linotype', Palatino, serif; font-size: 15px; line-height: 21px; text-align: justify;">Idiots still gave back plenty of potential money at zero at times, and took 5% total losses in a series of separate 1% ish hits, but this week it is easier to see how idiots intend the bigger scheme to play out. The point is, idiots are not scared of losses, as they are limited, and <i>required</i> in the maths. </span><br />
<span style="font-family: Georgia, Utopia, 'Palatino Linotype', Palatino, serif; font-size: 15px; line-height: 21px; text-align: justify;"><br /></span>
<span style="font-family: Georgia, Utopia, 'Palatino Linotype', Palatino, serif; font-size: 15px; line-height: 21px; text-align: justify;">If next week when idiots are doing this live, the market turns and a few of these yellow <span style="background-color: yellow;">"stopped at zeros"</span> suddenly become <span style="background-color: lime;">TP3s</span> and 2-300 point runners, idiots might even send a thank you present to Turner. </span><br />
<span style="font-family: Georgia, Utopia, 'Palatino Linotype', Palatino, serif; font-size: 15px; line-height: 21px; text-align: justify;"><br /></span>
<span style="font-family: Georgia, Utopia, 'Palatino Linotype', Palatino, serif; font-size: 15px; line-height: 21px; text-align: justify;">If it does not, does anybody really doubt the idiots are happy to just plod away taking money directly out fools bank accounts until it does? </span><br />
<span style="font-family: Georgia, 'Times New Roman', serif; font-size: 15px; line-height: 21px; text-align: justify;"><br /></span>
<span style="background-color: lime; font-family: Georgia, 'Times New Roman', serif; line-height: 21px; text-align: justify;"><b><span style="font-size: 15px;">If the AT_ETF had started trading with a $1 million client on Jan 1st 2013, said client would now be </span><span style="font-size: large;">+$288910 </span><span style="font-size: 15px;">up, banked and secure, RISK <i>FREE.</i> </span></b></span><br />
<span style="background-color: lime; font-family: Georgia, 'Times New Roman', serif; line-height: 21px; text-align: justify;"><b><span style="font-size: 15px;"><br /></span></b></span>
<span style="font-family: Georgia, 'Times New Roman', serif; font-size: 15px; line-height: 21px; text-align: justify;">Maybe some can now possibly start to see why Turner's </span><b style="font-family: Georgia, 'Times New Roman', serif; font-size: 15px; line-height: 21px; text-align: justify;"><a href="http://garthturnergreaterfraud.blogspot.ca/2013/01/the-idiots-guide-to-risk-management.html">(utterly clueless about <i>actual</i> risk)</a> </b><span style="font-family: Georgia, 'Times New Roman', serif; font-size: 15px; line-height: 21px; text-align: justify;">comments about daytraders being idiots and "courting risk" irked and motivated <i>these</i> idiots into action. </span><br />
<span style="font-family: Georgia, 'Times New Roman', serif; font-size: 15px; line-height: 21px; text-align: justify;"><br /></span>
<span style="font-family: Georgia, 'Times New Roman', serif; font-size: 15px; line-height: 21px; text-align: justify;">Here's the equity curve plotted, this is the <a href="http://garthturnergreaterfraud.blogspot.ca/2013/01/will-he-never-learn.html">ONLY equities idiots are interested in, because ask yourself, <i>where did this money come from</i></a>?</span><br />
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Unknownnoreply@blogger.com2tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5004824816250911847.post-28609448765479164042013-01-25T10:28:00.000-08:002013-01-25T12:28:35.549-08:00Thank You and Goodnight..<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEi_cV7GrXPP0YqeAj2RK5HihtghqhfQDwn6xuw-3gxmbqbOWrAiN_kjp7ab-6LLkf9j4rgEe2-NNChQLAdY8LK4pv_A_-tkNi-v7pUdt6huiENLehfAmU8jUZ7IK_7Y69JWX18K2Z6TMNM/s1600/100percent.png" imageanchor="1" style="clear: right; float: right; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: 1em;"><img border="0" height="207" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEi_cV7GrXPP0YqeAj2RK5HihtghqhfQDwn6xuw-3gxmbqbOWrAiN_kjp7ab-6LLkf9j4rgEe2-NNChQLAdY8LK4pv_A_-tkNi-v7pUdt6huiENLehfAmU8jUZ7IK_7Y69JWX18K2Z6TMNM/s320/100percent.png" width="320" /></a></div>
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<span style="font-family: Georgia, Times New Roman, serif;">So today brings the live trading display to a close, the <a href="http://garthturnergreaterfraud.blogspot.ca/p/anti-turner-etf.html">ETF Page is now an internet shrine to idiocy at it's finest</a></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Georgia, Times New Roman, serif;"><i>None</i> of these idiots in their <i>wildest dreams</i> thought it would be so easy to apply general market knowledge to new markets and blitz it <a href="http://garthturnergreaterfraud.blogspot.ca/2013/01/right-out-of-park.html">out of the park</a>, over the golf course and <i>straight through a brick wall</i> in basically two weeks of live (theoretical of course) trading. </span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Georgia, Times New Roman, serif;">Idiots have treated it as though it was 100% real and been scrupulously fair and accurate in the live trading, and although obviously in real trading idiots have to account for spread in stop losses etc, (we do) the idiots hope people can see they have a reasonable grasp of market action, even if we do think it's all one big computer game.</span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Georgia, Times New Roman, serif;">It has been quite a team effort and all the idiots have been <i>bang</i> on it, because of course unknown idiots always have something to prove, and in this case the desire was only to prove that not<i> everybody</i> who visits Mr Turner's blog comments is a fool. </span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Georgia, Times New Roman, serif;">Today's <a href="http://garthturnergreaterfraud.blogspot.ca/p/anti-turner-etf.html">trading commentary from the the ETF page is copied below</a>, and the idiots think it speaks for itself, although the idiots highly recommend people visit the page itself and read the last paragraph carefully.</span></div>
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<b><span style="background-color: cyan;"><span style="font-family: Georgia, Times New Roman, serif;">Update 25th Jan 2013</span></span></b></div>
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<b><span style="font-family: Georgia, Times New Roman, serif;">Remaining 15 contracts on DOW stopped at breakeven. thinking about reloading once more..</span></b></blockquote>
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<b style="background-color: lime;"><span style="font-family: Georgia, Times New Roman, serif;">Update - back, might be too early, we shall see</span></b></div>
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<li style="margin: 0px 0px 0.25em; padding: 0px;"><b style="background-color: yellow;"><span style="font-family: Georgia, Times New Roman, serif;">Short DOW @ 13871 61 contracts at 20pts = 1% risk</span></b></li>
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiHgXHwPVsVclXOm3qaqEpcBEZDV44EINZsqjNUo3oYVbT0KuXlceSq5uvHVd_06BMtwcojsc3FuqyXzbi_2sEbrFxlOEidf5QY5o8Rf1Iz1aPRIxhtYMPjwIS8Eo0dxEzspaHSxzrd3y4/s1600/reload.png" imageanchor="1" style="color: #660000; margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em; text-decoration: initial;"><span style="font-family: Georgia, Times New Roman, serif;"><img border="0" height="327" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiHgXHwPVsVclXOm3qaqEpcBEZDV44EINZsqjNUo3oYVbT0KuXlceSq5uvHVd_06BMtwcojsc3FuqyXzbi_2sEbrFxlOEidf5QY5o8Rf1Iz1aPRIxhtYMPjwIS8Eo0dxEzspaHSxzrd3y4/s640/reload.png" style="-webkit-box-shadow: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.0980392) 1px 1px 5px; border: 1px solid rgb(238, 238, 238); box-shadow: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.0980392) 1px 1px 5px; padding: 5px; position: relative;" width="640" /></span></a></div>
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<span style="font-family: Georgia, Times New Roman, serif;"><span style="background-color: yellow; font-size: 15px; line-height: 21px;"><b>Update - (Yesterday's) Final 15 S&P contracts stopped at breakeven </b></span><br style="background-color: white; font-size: 15px; line-height: 21px;" /><b style="background-color: cyan; font-size: 15px; line-height: 21px;">This below is basically the idiots regular bet.. <i>only that the Market will bank</i> the money of fools</b></span><br />
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<span style="font-family: Georgia, Times New Roman, serif;"><b style="background-color: cyan;"><br /></b><b style="background-color: cyan;">(...as in shall the idiots kick the granny out of it with high leverage for their daily cheek)</b></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Georgia, Times New Roman, serif;"><b style="background-color: cyan; text-align: start;">Update MORE TRADING: </b><b style="background-color: cyan; text-align: start;">Adding to shorts at high leverage and tight stops </b></span></div>
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<li style="margin: 0px 0px 0.25em; padding: 0px;"><b style="background-color: yellow;"><span style="font-family: Georgia, Times New Roman, serif;">Short S&P 1502.1 - 100 contracts 10pt stop <1% risk</span></b></li>
<li style="margin: 0px 0px 0.25em; padding: 0px;"><b style="background-color: yellow;"><span style="font-family: Georgia, Times New Roman, serif;">Short DOW 13882 - 135 contracts 9pt stop 1% risk</span></b></li>
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<b style="background-color: yellow;"><span style="font-family: Georgia, Times New Roman, serif;">Total account risk with previous DOW short still in play approx 3%</span></b></div>
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<b style="background-color: lime;"><span style="font-family: Georgia, Times New Roman, serif;">Update S&P TP1 20 pts x 80 contracts = +$1600</span></b></div>
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<span style="font-family: Georgia, Times New Roman, serif;"><b style="background-color: lime; font-size: x-large; text-align: start;">AT_ETF </b><b style="background-color: lime; font-size: x-large; text-align: start;">$123525 + $1600 = $125125 or +25.1% </b></span></div>
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<b style="background-color: yellow; text-align: start;"><span style="font-family: Georgia, Times New Roman, serif;">Still short 20 S&P and 196 DOW :) @ 2% account risk</span></b></div>
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<b style="background-color: lime;"><span style="font-family: Georgia, Times New Roman, serif;">Update DOW TP1 20pts x 100 contracts = +$2000</span></b></div>
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<span style="font-family: Georgia, Times New Roman, serif;"><b style="background-color: lime; font-size: x-large;">AT_ETF </b><b style="background-color: lime; font-size: x-large;">$125125 +$2000 = $127125 or +27.1% </b></span></div>
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<b style="background-color: yellow;"><span style="font-family: Georgia, Times New Roman, serif;">Still short 20 S&P and 96 DOW @ <i>1% </i>account risk</span></b></div>
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<b style="background-color: cyan;"><span style="font-family: Georgia, Times New Roman, serif;">Update Remaining 20 S&P stopped at breakeven. To. The. Pip.</span></b></div>
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<b style="background-color: yellow;"><span style="font-family: Georgia, Times New Roman, serif;">96 DOW @ 1% risk still in play</span></b></div>
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<b style="background-color: lime;"><span style="font-family: Georgia, Times New Roman, serif;">Update DOW TP2 35 contracts x 40 pts = +$1400</span></b></div>
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<span style="font-family: Georgia, Times New Roman, serif;"><b style="background-color: lime; font-size: x-large;">AT_ETF </b><b style="background-color: lime; font-size: x-large;"> $127125 +$1400 =$128525 or +28.52% </b></span></div>
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<b style="background-color: yellow;"><span style="font-family: Georgia, Times New Roman, serif;">Still short Original 61 DOW @ 1%<i> </i>account risk</span></b></div>
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<b style="background-color: cyan;"><span style="font-family: Georgia, Times New Roman, serif;">Read it and <i>weep </i>fools ;)</span></b></div>
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<b style="background-color: lime;"><span style="font-family: Georgia, 'Times New Roman', serif;">Update 25-Jan 2013 - This is probably the final Update in here now.</span></b></div>
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<b style="background-color: lime;"><span style="font-family: Georgia, 'Times New Roman', serif;">Dow trade scratched at +$366 (6pts) rather than maybe take a 1% loss</span></b></div>
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<span style="font-family: Georgia, 'Times New Roman', serif;"><span style="font-size: x-large;"><b style="background-color: lime;">AT_ETF </b><b style="background-color: lime;">$128525 +$366 = $128891 or </b><b style="background-color: lime;">+28.89%</b><b style="background-color: lime;"> </b></span></span></div>
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<b style="background-color: cyan;"><span style="font-family: Georgia, 'Times New Roman', serif;">IN <i>TWO WEEKS</i> OF TRADING MARKETS THE IDIOTS DON'T KNOW, AGAINST THE TREND</span></b></div>
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<b style="background-color: cyan;"><i><span style="font-family: Georgia, 'Times New Roman', serif;">FOR A LAUGH :) </span></i></b></div>
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<span style="font-family: Georgia, 'Times New Roman', serif; text-align: justify;">Well we </span><i style="font-family: Georgia, 'Times New Roman', serif; text-align: justify;">certainly</i><span style="font-family: Georgia, 'Times New Roman', serif; text-align: justify;"> had a laugh.. ..<a href="http://garthturnergreaterfraud.blogspot.ca/p/anti-turner-etf.html">read the rest at the Anti-Turner ETF</a> </span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Georgia, 'Times New Roman', serif; text-align: justify;">The site will now get a couple more idiotic posts to round things up and then become an internet shrine to Mr Turner, as seen by a bunch of idiots, because the idiots <i>do</i> actually have better things to do, like new places to mug money off fools (and for that we thank Mr Turner's bullish stocks calls greatly) but this <i>did</i> need doing and these idiots wanted to do it. </span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Georgia, 'Times New Roman', serif; text-align: justify;">Thank you and goodnight. </span><br />
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEh57HDp41XYk6N2Tcz3hsE-Q8R2OtWp8dXDn378_qy6j18XAWGaKXBz0oeQ41KPniU9iVHpXair4a4Qjcj1Se98FxIgSiCdN16UcI0vlUMouw9-c6t8bH2x6ceDz9WMaMbedPYYcPTDRlc/s1600/thank-you.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEh57HDp41XYk6N2Tcz3hsE-Q8R2OtWp8dXDn378_qy6j18XAWGaKXBz0oeQ41KPniU9iVHpXair4a4Qjcj1Se98FxIgSiCdN16UcI0vlUMouw9-c6t8bH2x6ceDz9WMaMbedPYYcPTDRlc/s1600/thank-you.png" /></a></div>
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Unknownnoreply@blogger.com2tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5004824816250911847.post-81893354002389905672013-01-24T11:21:00.004-08:002013-01-29T04:51:26.104-08:00RIGHT OUT OF THE PARK!! <div style="text-align: justify;">
<span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: Georgia, 'Times New Roman', serif;">After spending the European session <a href="http://garthturnergreaterfraud.blogspot.ca/2013/01/trading-update_24.html">taking continuing pot shots at passing Terminators</a> from yesterday's trade defence lines the idiots withdrew when the markets surged upwards, and regrouped at the new top again. What followed was somewhat epic if we do say so ourselves. (for idiots, anyway remember)</span></div>
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<span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: Georgia, 'Times New Roman', serif;">Here's the <a href="http://garthturnergreaterfraud.blogspot.ca/p/anti-turner-etf.html">whole trade sequence from the ETF page</a>.</span><br />
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<li style="margin: 0px 0px 0.25em; padding: 0px;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: Georgia, 'Times New Roman', serif;"><b>Short DOW 13866 - </b><b style="background-color: yellow;">85 contracts at 20 pip stop = 1.5% risk</b></span></li>
<li style="margin: 0px 0px 0.25em; padding: 0px;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: Georgia, 'Times New Roman', serif;"><b>Short S & P 1501.1 -</b><b style="background-color: yellow;"> 85 contracts at 20 pip stop = 1.5% risk</b></span></li>
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<span style="background-color: lime;"><span style="font-family: Georgia, 'Times New Roman', serif; font-size: medium;">Update S&P TP1 70 contracts x 50 pts = +$3500</span></span></div>
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<b style="background-color: lime; font-size: x-large; text-align: start;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: Georgia, 'Times New Roman', serif;">AT_ETF $116525 +$3500 = $120025 or +20.02% </span></b></div>
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<span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: Georgia, 'Times New Roman', serif;"><span style="text-align: start;">(should we say it again? :) </span><span style="background-color: yellow; text-align: start;">Stops to breakeven - Risk Free trading from the idiots once more</span></span></div>
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<span style="background-color: lime;"><span style="font-family: Georgia, 'Times New Roman', serif; font-size: medium;">Update DOW TP1 70 contracts x 50 pts = +$3500</span></span></div>
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<span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: Georgia, 'Times New Roman', serif;"><b style="background-color: lime; font-size: x-large;">AT_ETF </b><b style="background-color: lime; font-size: x-large;">$120025 </b><b style="background-color: lime; font-size: x-large;">+ $3500 = $123525 or +23.52% </b></span></div>
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<span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: Georgia, 'Times New Roman', serif;">Some people might be glad to know this project is now approaching the end of it's line, it's not supposed to be a free trading class, the idiots were only intent on demonstrating that a methodical approach and <i>a vague understanding</i> of how it works <i>can</i> earn money, despite what fools may tell you.</span></div>
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<span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: Georgia, 'Times New Roman', serif;">So the idiots will now just (attempt to) make sure they outperform 3 years worth of <a href="http://garthturnergreaterfraud.blogspot.ca/2013/01/work-it-garth.html">balanced portfolio growth</a> by the end of Jan and then leave it hanging out there as the benchmark for fools to aspire to. </span></div>
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<span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: Georgia, 'Times New Roman', serif;">If we look at the figures for the Dow, fools buying it at "Turner's top" (13414) are up 2.9%, meanwhile, a bunch of idiots trading it<i> <b style="background-color: cyan;">the wrong way for a laugh </b></i><b style="background-color: cyan;"> managed </b><b style="background-color: lime;">+</b><b style="background-color: lime;">23.5%</b><b style="background-color: cyan;"> in<i> two weeks. </i></b></span></div>
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<span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: Georgia, 'Times New Roman', serif;"><b style="background-color: lime;"><a href="http://garthturnergreaterfraud.blogspot.ca/2013/01/the-idiots-guide-to-risk-management.html">The idiot's money is banked and secure, whilst the fools have to worry about whether Mr Market takes it all back again tomorrow</a>.. </b></span><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: Georgia, 'Times New Roman', serif;"><b style="background-color: cyan;">Whilst we <i>might</i> be idiots, **** <i>being</i> a fool.. ;)</b></span></div>
Unknownnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5004824816250911847.post-38065246931445125512013-01-24T00:05:00.001-08:002013-01-24T05:47:55.263-08:00Trading UpdateWell it has to be said the idiots don't have days <a href="http://garthturnergreaterfraud.blogspot.ca/2013/01/the-idiots-and-stupids.html">like that</a> every day.<br />
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Early AM European session the DOW got hoovered at breakeven, but idiots aren't taking no for an answer and hit them back at one point higher, 6pt stop and<b> 195 contracts </b><br />
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As its only the DOW setting up here (S&P fired yesterday) idiots are going to try it again, with a 6pt stop and 195 contracts for 1% account risk, that seems like a high risk reward..</div>
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<li style="margin: 0px 0px 0.25em; padding: 0px;"><b style="background-color: yellow;">Short DOW 13784 x 195 contracts x 6 pt stop - 1% account risk</b></li>
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<span style="background-color: red;"><b>Update: Stopped out -$1170</b></span></div>
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<b style="background-color: lime; font-family: Georgia, Utopia, 'Palatino Linotype', Palatino, serif; font-size: 15px; line-height: 21px; text-align: start;"><span style="font-size: small;">AT_ETF </span></b><b style="background-color: lime; font-family: Georgia, Utopia, 'Palatino Linotype', Palatino, serif; font-size: 15px; line-height: 21px; text-align: start;"><span style="font-size: small;"> $118875 - </span></b><b style="background-color: red;">$1170</b><b style="background-color: lime;"> </b><b style="background-color: lime;">=<span style="font-size: large;"> </span></b><span style="font-size: large;"><b style="background-color: lime; font-family: Georgia, Utopia, 'Palatino Linotype', Palatino, serif; line-height: 21px;">$117705</b><b style="background-color: lime;"> or + 17.7% </b></span></div>
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiu2PulCpotMBDkK0bjUc9GdDq8dovbPSAx0Ud28XngQ_3sPz7CdvfHz5DeO5eCg_q6zS5R14dDziGdnKXJIsaRoPFYXk7vOxsTRfaOPw6Xktzg3EOM_-oLeFaJKV_lFjDeQoG60hBPS7o/s1600/terminated.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiu2PulCpotMBDkK0bjUc9GdDq8dovbPSAx0Ud28XngQ_3sPz7CdvfHz5DeO5eCg_q6zS5R14dDziGdnKXJIsaRoPFYXk7vOxsTRfaOPw6Xktzg3EOM_-oLeFaJKV_lFjDeQoG60hBPS7o/s1600/terminated.png" /></a></div>
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Even though ultimately this trade took a small loss hopefully people can see the potential here. If we were not playing a longer risk:reward management game, these two stopouts could both have been grabbed at +3 or 4%. At 195 contracts, a mere 40 point drop (idiots first target with these heavily leveraged ones) would pay <b style="background-color: lime;">+$7800</b></div>
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<b style="background-color: lime;">Idiots only need to actually win 1 in 7 of these to still be up. </b><b style="background-color: lime;"><i>What</i> a bunch of f'in idiots :)</b></div>
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<span style="background-color: white;">and as idiots won one last night they get to take a few free pot shots out of the profit now..</span></div>
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<b style="background-color: cyan;">Update back in, you cant keep a good idiot down..</b></div>
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<b style="background-color: cyan;">Update DOW Terminated at breakeven</b></div>
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<span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: Georgia, Utopia, 'Palatino Linotype', Palatino, serif; font-size: 15px; line-height: 21px;"><a href="http://garthturnergreaterfraud.blogspot.ca/p/anti-turner-etf.html">See the AT_ETF page for full details of all trades entries and results</a></span></div>
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Unknownnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5004824816250911847.post-62054794040472746592013-01-23T05:47:00.001-08:002013-01-24T03:09:13.951-08:00The Idiots and the StupidsIn pictures, for those who aren't so good with words..<br />
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Of course this isn't failsafe, the terminators might decide that today its more profitable to go up and take out us idiots first (if there are more of us) before coming back for the idiot buyers later, but betting against the people buying at the top is usually a workable probability bet over time, and especially at high risk:reward ratios.</div>
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This post will be updated with the outcome (of the trade) anyway of course</div>
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<b style="background-color: lime;">hahahaha er, sorry, Update 23 Jan 2013 S&P TP1 40 contracts removed at 50 pts = +$2000 </b></div>
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<span style="background-color: lime;"><b>AT_ETF total </b><b style="font-family: Georgia, Utopia, 'Palatino Linotype', Palatino, serif; font-size: 15px; line-height: 21px;">$</b></span><b style="background-color: lime; font-family: Georgia, Utopia, 'Palatino Linotype', Palatino, serif; font-size: 15px; line-height: 21px;">112555 +$2000 = $114555 or +14.55% in 2 weeks.</b></div>
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<b style="background-color: white; font-family: Georgia, Utopia, 'Palatino Linotype', Palatino, serif; font-size: 15px; line-height: 21px;">Idiots still short </b><b style="background-color: yellow; font-family: Georgia, Utopia, 'Palatino Linotype', Palatino, serif; font-size: 15px; line-height: 21px;">16 contracts on S&P (no risk)</b><b style="background-color: white; font-family: Georgia, Utopia, 'Palatino Linotype', Palatino, serif; font-size: 15px; line-height: 21px;"> and </b><b style="background-color: yellow; font-family: Georgia, Utopia, 'Palatino Linotype', Palatino, serif; font-size: 15px; line-height: 21px;">56 Dow @ </b><b style="background-color: yellow; font-family: Georgia, Utopia, 'Palatino Linotype', Palatino, serif; font-size: 15px; line-height: 21px;">1.5% risk</b></div>
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<b style="background-color: yellow; font-family: Georgia, Utopia, 'Palatino Linotype', Palatino, serif; font-size: 15px; line-height: 21px;">Worst case scenario DOW stopout gives</b><b style="background-color: lime; font-family: Georgia, Utopia, 'Palatino Linotype', Palatino, serif; font-size: 15px; line-height: 21px;"> +0.5%</b><b style="background-color: lime; font-family: Georgia, Utopia, 'Palatino Linotype', Palatino, serif; font-size: 15px; line-height: 21px;"> for the day (banked)</b></div>
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Now if we could just <i>afford us</i> our very own<i> Terminator</i>...<br />
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<span style="background-color: lime;"><b>AT_ETF total </b></span><b style="background-color: lime; font-family: Georgia, Utopia, 'Palatino Linotype', Palatino, serif; font-size: 15px; line-height: 21px;"> $114555 </b><b style="background-color: red; font-family: Georgia, Utopia, 'Palatino Linotype', Palatino, serif; font-size: 15px; line-height: 21px;">- $1680 </b><b style="background-color: lime; font-family: Georgia, Utopia, 'Palatino Linotype', Palatino, serif; font-size: 15px; line-height: 21px;">=$112875 or +12.87%</b></div>
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<span style="background-color: white; font-family: Georgia, Utopia, 'Palatino Linotype', Palatino, serif; font-size: 15px; line-height: 21px;">So today, yes the idiots had to settle for a mere half a percent (ish, less in fact) up at the end of these two trades. Literal peanuts. But lets put that in perspective. Imagine you could only manage to do that, twice a week. </span><span style="background-color: white; font-family: Georgia, Utopia, 'Palatino Linotype', Palatino, serif; font-size: 15px; line-height: 21px;">That's 4% per month, or 48% per year if you immediately extract all winnings and stay at the same position sizes forever. </span></div>
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<span style="background-color: white; font-family: Georgia, Utopia, 'Palatino Linotype', Palatino, serif; font-size: 15px; line-height: 21px;">However most idiots stay at the same risk reward figures and use larger positions as the account grows. </span><span style="background-color: white; font-family: Georgia, Utopia, 'Palatino Linotype', Palatino, serif; font-size: 15px; line-height: 21px;">Using this method, if you can just manage a consistent steady 1% per week forever, the account size will grow </span><i style="background-color: white; font-family: Georgia, Utopia, 'Palatino Linotype', Palatino, serif; font-size: 15px; line-height: 21px;">parabolically</i><span style="background-color: white; font-family: Georgia, Utopia, 'Palatino Linotype', Palatino, serif; font-size: 15px; line-height: 21px;">... <i>hmm</i>..? :) </span><span style="background-color: white; font-family: Georgia, Utopia, 'Palatino Linotype', Palatino, serif; font-size: 15px; line-height: 21px;">..anyone wondering if the idiots might have </span><i style="background-color: white; font-family: Georgia, Utopia, 'Palatino Linotype', Palatino, serif; font-size: 15px; line-height: 21px;">some</i><span style="background-color: white; font-family: Georgia, Utopia, 'Palatino Linotype', Palatino, serif; font-size: 15px; line-height: 21px;"> clue what they're talking about yet? ;)</span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Georgia, Utopia, Palatino Linotype, Palatino, serif;"><span style="background-color: cyan; font-size: 15px; line-height: 21px;">UPDATE: Just posted in</span><span style="background-color: cyan; font-size: 15px; line-height: 21px;"> </span></span><span style="background-color: cyan;"><b style="font-family: Georgia, Utopia, 'Palatino Linotype', Palatino, serif; font-size: 15px; line-height: 21px;"><a href="http://garthturnergreaterfraud.blogspot.ca/p/anti-turner-etf.html">the ETF page</a> </b><span style="font-family: Georgia, Utopia, 'Palatino Linotype', Palatino, serif; font-size: 15px; line-height: 21px;">, </span><i style="font-family: Georgia, Utopia, 'Palatino Linotype', Palatino, serif; font-size: 15px; line-height: 21px;">what</i></span><span style="background-color: cyan; font-family: Georgia, Utopia, 'Palatino Linotype', Palatino, serif; font-size: 15px; line-height: 21px;"> an end to the day... remember we were thinking about reloading heavy with tight stops above? </span><i style="background-color: cyan; font-family: Georgia, Utopia, 'Palatino Linotype', Palatino, serif; font-size: 15px; line-height: 21px;">heh heh..</i></div>
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<span style="font-family: Georgia, Utopia, 'Palatino Linotype', Palatino, serif; font-size: 15px; line-height: 21px;"><i>..and back in immediately.. this might turn out to have been a bit hasty, we will see..</i></span></blockquote>
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<li style="margin: 0px 0px 0.25em; padding: 0px;"><span style="background-color: white;"><b style="text-align: center;">S & P Short 1495.1 - 160 contracts x 7 pip stop - 1% risk</b></span></li>
<li style="margin: 0px 0px 0.25em; padding: 0px;"><span style="background-color: white;"><b style="text-align: center;">DOW Short 13783 - 160 contracts x 7 pip stop - 1% risk</b></span></li>
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<span style="background-color: white;"><b>let battle commence you f'in idiots..</b></span></div>
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<span style="background-color: white;"><b style="background-color: cyan; font-family: Georgia, Utopia, 'Palatino Linotype', Palatino, serif; font-size: 15px; line-height: 21px; text-align: start;">Bwahahahaha update, as fast as we could get the stops on screenshot done and a cup of tea, it reversed :)</b><br style="font-family: Georgia, Utopia, 'Palatino Linotype', Palatino, serif; font-size: 15px; line-height: 21px; text-align: start;" /><b style="background-color: cyan; font-family: Georgia, Utopia, 'Palatino Linotype', Palatino, serif; font-size: 15px; line-height: 21px; text-align: start;"><br /></b><span style="font-family: Georgia, Utopia, 'Palatino Linotype', Palatino, serif; font-size: 15px; line-height: 21px; text-align: start;"></span></span><br />
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<span style="background-color: white;"><b style="background-color: cyan;">Updates coming thick and fast.. </b><b style="background-color: lime;">S&P TP1 40pts x 150 contracts =<span style="font-size: medium;"> +$6000 </span></b></span></div>
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<span style="background-color: white;"><b style="background-color: lime;"><span style="font-size: medium;">AT_ETF Now </span></b><b style="background-color: lime;"><span style="font-size: medium;">$112875 + $6000 = $118875 or +18.87% </span></b></span><b style="background-color: lime;">Stops to breakeven on Dow & remaining S&P </b></div>
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<b style="background-color: yellow;"> RISK FREE TRADES 170 contracts total short. </b><b style="background-color: cyan;">Eat <i>our</i> f'in shorts will you? :) </b></div>
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<a href="http://garthturnergreaterfraud.blogspot.ca/p/anti-turner-etf.html">See the AT_ETF page for full details of all trades entries and results</a></div>
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</span>Unknownnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5004824816250911847.post-19145623255080672362013-01-23T00:49:00.000-08:002013-02-03T06:32:24.379-08:00Idiot Trading Analysis & Market CommentaryFirstly, what can we <strike>see</strike> say except......... <b><a href="http://garthturnergreaterfraud.blogspot.com.es/2013/01/the-idiots-guide-to-fabulous-riches.html">SILVER</a>!! </b><br />
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjdlnX4h91hx3HbBwfOCvJbU55REHDGSAZrL1kAAfw21NdcC5svSfxlAeD-rGTRlJ6f5GTNOdDscahHs6yHKi_8Ai9pBC1nvDyaR6bRZXJaVV_QBNyJVg1opICyjxExxuTBPrZA5aaLDKY/s1600/silver23.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjdlnX4h91hx3HbBwfOCvJbU55REHDGSAZrL1kAAfw21NdcC5svSfxlAeD-rGTRlJ6f5GTNOdDscahHs6yHKi_8Ai9pBC1nvDyaR6bRZXJaVV_QBNyJVg1opICyjxExxuTBPrZA5aaLDKY/s1600/silver23.png" /></a></div>
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SilverMan was at the beach yesterday but was talking about the market last evening, and said he thinks he sees something very significant, (and quite unusual) that is some <i><b>real world </b></i>silver demand rejecting a sell off hard. At the same time as the image below, Gold dropped about $7 in a vertical line, Silver <i>started</i> to, but was powerfully rejected upwards again, as though there are <i>very</i> large buy orders just under the market.</div>
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgnWfOqevv-M-iZD4ichXhdmjWAyq0lkSzhckHo5PRy-qYC1htLoRBFpDg_9fV8jK3BiZsax8MgKWFjizLGcC0WOF11EIDA4rm_xZgN95Qfyq3gIXjUP9nEGxGNtVn7n2ug9eYYTPIKBj0/s1600/silver-terminators.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgnWfOqevv-M-iZD4ichXhdmjWAyq0lkSzhckHo5PRy-qYC1htLoRBFpDg_9fV8jK3BiZsax8MgKWFjizLGcC0WOF11EIDA4rm_xZgN95Qfyq3gIXjUP9nEGxGNtVn7n2ug9eYYTPIKBj0/s1600/silver-terminators.png" /></a></div>
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Make of this what you will, but <a href="http://garthturnergreaterfraud.blogspot.ca/2013/01/week-3-pre-market-alert.html">idiots think people should definitely be buying dips towards $30-31</a> (*if* : ) you see any.<br />
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<a href="http://garthturnergreaterfraud.blogspot.ca/p/anti-turner-etf.html">Last night's (slightly idiotic, even for us) renewed equities shorts</a> are drifting slowly downwards..<br />
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjCRtxFqw07fWM2P1xcDBR8MT8Z5oUNLIExBe6ZoHlE1xwvGn8_BehMtetfEmokY2K4xgO4wo1I_YD_GluerkzyGrNUupooTdvqDsOMcpZZ0Dva8ZCioIblAe2nZFoOa1lc10TKFez1dTU/s1600/entry1hr.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="330" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjCRtxFqw07fWM2P1xcDBR8MT8Z5oUNLIExBe6ZoHlE1xwvGn8_BehMtetfEmokY2K4xgO4wo1I_YD_GluerkzyGrNUupooTdvqDsOMcpZZ0Dva8ZCioIblAe2nZFoOa1lc10TKFez1dTU/s640/entry1hr.png" width="640" /></a></div>
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These charts actually provide a perfect demonstration of what is fundamentally wrong with technical analysis, that is, it works, until it doesn't. </div>
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj0uBkZ2YHqSnsIEk-s8dhRL-96svXXEwoVOYEdUggbyghWAyFLUsNZ9h69JqcgHVDi76cLYmBtlks8MWAmKgNVhdaq2fMIp4JrSEEKkRtyBpOa8MR-yBK14n1Mx048JuvLvWHUCBIJBVw/s1600/unexpected.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj0uBkZ2YHqSnsIEk-s8dhRL-96svXXEwoVOYEdUggbyghWAyFLUsNZ9h69JqcgHVDi76cLYmBtlks8MWAmKgNVhdaq2fMIp4JrSEEKkRtyBpOa8MR-yBK14n1Mx048JuvLvWHUCBIJBVw/s1600/unexpected.png" /></a></div>
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Which is why these idiots only use it as an additional guide to go along with our own <a href="http://garthturnergreaterfraud.blogspot.ca/2013/01/the-idiots-guide-to-trading-stupid.html">idiotic view of market fundamentals and price action</a>. </div>
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiZ5t9lfpPDbVToUWyLAZc8dBstXIXBAP-wYnn5Lt7Q25wDWBxeC85QzoJfJnJVm3ho96D0gI44mRS3PGrwcaVnExSyilwbR_FWMYdTws_zikMwS8Ns_AvD1rFHY1mqjsDCkveVFI8INMU/s1600/techs-failure.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="326" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiZ5t9lfpPDbVToUWyLAZc8dBstXIXBAP-wYnn5Lt7Q25wDWBxeC85QzoJfJnJVm3ho96D0gI44mRS3PGrwcaVnExSyilwbR_FWMYdTws_zikMwS8Ns_AvD1rFHY1mqjsDCkveVFI8INMU/s640/techs-failure.png" width="640" /></a></div>
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So anyway, after a couple of weeks at looking at equities the idiots are thinking theyre sorta getting the hang of it now and so might start trading it how they trade their more usual markets, ie down, AND UP. </div>
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjAlcO-1yd_f_WrZonw-SWTA20DONmRcPs2lWrDefyjp0j5GSlPuXfww7UQ_rn-J1VNEhvMiWHW8a_yOeLd2edE0FMegS185EOYlBQIKv9OJKJOI-JPiH-5lgDXLq40JGP-5xrPpLR2Ef8/s1600/hooveredterminator.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjAlcO-1yd_f_WrZonw-SWTA20DONmRcPs2lWrDefyjp0j5GSlPuXfww7UQ_rn-J1VNEhvMiWHW8a_yOeLd2edE0FMegS185EOYlBQIKv9OJKJOI-JPiH-5lgDXLq40JGP-5xrPpLR2Ef8/s1600/hooveredterminator.png" /></a></div>
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Obviously the bunch of idiots are <i>well</i> aware they are trading against the the trend (to make a point) but think that with said point probably now proven (<b style="background-color: lime;">+12.55% in 2 weeks</b> lol) it might be nice to be pointing the right way for a while, and instead of all these <span style="background-color: yellow;">"stopped at zeros"</span> we start getting a few <span style="background-color: lime;">TP3</span>'s instead.. :)</div>
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<span style="background-color: cyan;">So <i>today</i> if these trades hit TP1 idiots might be thinking about taking reversals back up too</span><span style="background-color: white;">. </span><span style="background-color: white;">idiots are also adjusting TP levels slightly as they become more accustomed to the range to try to extract more cash prior to stop outs at zero..</span></div>
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And for anybody still in two minds about this "<a href="http://garthturnergreaterfraud.blogspot.ca/2013/01/what-garth-turner-doesnt-understand.html">Dont bet against America</a>" nonsense the idiots highly recommend careful reading and digestion of this..<br />
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<a href="http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2013-01-22/what-1230-days-explicit-market-support-federal-reserve-looks">This Is What 1,230 Days (And Counting) Of Explicit Market Support By The Federal Reserve Looks Like</a></h1>
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Because much like the technical analysis failure above, this will also work until.. it doesn't. </div>
Unknownnoreply@blogger.com4tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5004824816250911847.post-42716345677608287012013-01-22T05:19:00.000-08:002013-01-22T08:50:05.853-08:00F'in Idiots<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: justify;">
A day in the life of an idiot who didn't go to the beach instead today.</div>
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Unknownnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5004824816250911847.post-90033134549047430932013-01-22T00:55:00.002-08:002013-01-22T09:33:42.982-08:00Trading Update Yesterday the idiots were <a href="http://garthturnergreaterfraud.blogspot.ca/2013/01/trade-v-31-update.html">musing about markets</a> whilst in a trade that ultimately <a href="http://garthturnergreaterfraud.blogspot.ca/p/anti-turner-etf.html">got stopped out</a> by a couple of pips just before the US session "closed". In fact, had the idiots responsible even <i>known</i> that the US was shut the next day when they initiated it.. : ) .. well they wouldn't have, but hey ho, idiots make mistakes from time to time.<br />
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But the <a href="http://garthturnergreaterfraud.blogspot.ca/p/anti-turner-etf.html">Asia Pacific division of the AT_ETF struck back quickly</a> from just slightly higher after the open..<br />
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And <i>now</i>, (idiots were too early as often happens) it's possible to see the trap closing..<br />
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In fact whilst writing this update post both trades are now 40 points (ish) positive, and stops moved to breakeven.<br />
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<span style="background-color: yellow;">Risk Free Trading once more</span>, could be a good day for a bunch of idiots..<br />
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<b style="background-color: lime;">Update TP1 S&P & DOW</b><br />
<b style="background-color: white;">S&P 25 contracts removed x 6 (60) pts = </b><b style="background-color: lime;">+$1500 or 1.4% </b><b style="background-color: yellow;">and 12 contracts still in play</b><br />
<b style="background-color: white;">Dow 35 contracts removed x 60 points = </b><b style="background-color: lime;">+$2100 or 2.0% </b><b style="background-color: yellow;">and 15 contracts still in play</b><br />
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<b style="background-color: yellow;">Remaining stop losses at breakeven, no risk of loss, still 27 contracts short</b><br />
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<b style="background-color: lime;">AT_ETF Total </b><b style="background-color: lime; font-family: Georgia, Utopia, 'Palatino Linotype', Palatino, serif; font-size: 15px; line-height: 21px; text-align: justify;">$108955 + $1500 + $2100 = $112555 or</b><b style="background-color: lime; font-family: Georgia, Utopia, 'Palatino Linotype', Palatino, serif; line-height: 21px; text-align: justify;"><span style="font-size: large;"> + 12.55%</span></b><b style="background-color: lime; font-family: Georgia, Utopia, 'Palatino Linotype', Palatino, serif; font-size: 15px; line-height: 21px; text-align: justify;"> : ) </b></h3>
<b style="background-color: lime; font-family: Georgia, Utopia, 'Palatino Linotype', Palatino, serif; font-size: 15px; line-height: 21px; text-align: justify;">Remaining open float currently = 27x60 (ish) = +$1600ish (not closed /banked)</b><br />
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<b style="background-color: lime; font-family: Georgia, Utopia, 'Palatino Linotype', Palatino, serif; font-size: 15px; line-height: 21px; text-align: justify;"><br /></b><b style="background-color: lime; font-family: Georgia, Utopia, 'Palatino Linotype', Palatino, serif; font-size: 15px; line-height: 21px; text-align: justify;">Update Final Tranches stopped</b><b style="background-color: yellow; font-family: Georgia, Utopia, 'Palatino Linotype', Palatino, serif; font-size: 15px; line-height: 21px; text-align: justify;"> at breakeven</b><br />
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<b style="background-color: lime;">AT_ETF Total </b><b style="background-color: lime; font-family: Georgia, Utopia, 'Palatino Linotype', Palatino, serif; font-size: 15px; line-height: 21px; text-align: justify;">$108955 + $1500 + $2100 = $112555 or</b><b style="background-color: lime; font-family: Georgia, Utopia, 'Palatino Linotype', Palatino, serif; line-height: 21px; text-align: justify;"><span style="font-size: large;"> + 12.55%</span></b><b style="background-color: lime; font-family: Georgia, Utopia, 'Palatino Linotype', Palatino, serif; font-size: 15px; line-height: 21px; text-align: justify;"> : ) </b></h3>
Unknownnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5004824816250911847.post-47164724804690173042013-01-21T10:50:00.001-08:002013-02-03T02:14:36.057-08:00Why Idiots Love Oil <div class="" style="clear: both; text-align: left;">
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj0dDP2FLZTPKCeNT72zSGTd8sY_InVQi9cigP0z-Xrj5s0HiU8TbRo1o7fPjKQH4GYdCvZEM3j_GLHpzVnv7b5q3TINkVjOFMUDenNvQ3s-HzPx9ETgZiGUl8gqy7Gqb5lWIQNPGdPzLE/s1600/oil2.png" imageanchor="1" style="clear: right; display: inline !important; float: right; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: 1em; text-align: center;"><img border="0" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj0dDP2FLZTPKCeNT72zSGTd8sY_InVQi9cigP0z-Xrj5s0HiU8TbRo1o7fPjKQH4GYdCvZEM3j_GLHpzVnv7b5q3TINkVjOFMUDenNvQ3s-HzPx9ETgZiGUl8gqy7Gqb5lWIQNPGdPzLE/s1600/oil2.png" /></a>Pure Idiocy in action. </div>
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjK5SPJTD9lIgxgznUqIKIbbhF4iNGNyji2VhdrzivAC5wwIQJ6pLkmOecDqFom7m_naeF4lGLx-hA70f7z5Wuw4vXQ-XqoEPBTmjUPnPSFXX6wD40msXVv6hoJDhbyuiiUr_vv39s-zEs/s1600/oil-daily.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjK5SPJTD9lIgxgznUqIKIbbhF4iNGNyji2VhdrzivAC5wwIQJ6pLkmOecDqFom7m_naeF4lGLx-hA70f7z5Wuw4vXQ-XqoEPBTmjUPnPSFXX6wD40msXVv6hoJDhbyuiiUr_vv39s-zEs/s1600/oil-daily.png" /></a></div>
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A tiny bet on a mere 100 barrels of oil (micro account size) at the regular (since 2008 onwards anyway) idiot's fill up point (lower green line) and cashed out on the longterm trendline would net <b><span class="Apple-style-span" style="background-color: lime;">+$2000 profit</span><span class="Apple-style-span" style="background-color: lime; color: white;"> </span><span class="Apple-style-span" style="background-color: white;"> </span></b><span class="Apple-style-span" style="background-color: white;">i</span>n about 5 weeks, for $200 risk (say $2 stop loss) <span class="Apple-style-span" style="background-color: yellow;"><b>Risk : reward 10:1 </b></span></div>
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Hit them with 1000 barrels and it's a <b style="background-color: lime;">+$20,000 TRADE </b><span style="background-color: white;"><i>- How</i> often do you have to win with risk:reward at 10:1 to get rich again? Unfortunately these setups take weeks and months, and occasionally years to arrive, so idiots have to be content spending winnings from the last one for a while sometimes. </span><br />
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEh7vHn9qf1KqVo_52NZ1C8mtvliq1f_LJ9OUnbNDtw8tUkrapDob2esBeB1fHWh7UjbvLYDC9wVFmDYNg32yGCPZJLqcdd4RJx0lih7UspsCsmenYQ2ARLXHl3cBrYYs6ps22uCAD3Ulj4/s1600/oil1.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEh7vHn9qf1KqVo_52NZ1C8mtvliq1f_LJ9OUnbNDtw8tUkrapDob2esBeB1fHWh7UjbvLYDC9wVFmDYNg32yGCPZJLqcdd4RJx0lih7UspsCsmenYQ2ARLXHl3cBrYYs6ps22uCAD3Ulj4/s1600/oil1.png" /></a></div>
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<span style="background-color: white;">The chart below also shows why idiots are pretty confident in their longer term views, and why what <i>has been working </i>doesn't look like changing any time soon to these idiots.</span><br />
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgtSsVUZJDzl9nUNVt-iQRqCEu0iX9Vn_aTc0GjayxAgz24iUnGBo_ebO65E6vic6Fz6ufo-ZP3xd1BdRCpl-NrPKgzVzPlnA9jRQbZToWYmtcp7Q08qElrWyKngYxQOXkPbCsKMA52owM/s1600/1998.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgtSsVUZJDzl9nUNVt-iQRqCEu0iX9Vn_aTc0GjayxAgz24iUnGBo_ebO65E6vic6Fz6ufo-ZP3xd1BdRCpl-NrPKgzVzPlnA9jRQbZToWYmtcp7Q08qElrWyKngYxQOXkPbCsKMA52owM/s1600/1998.png" /></a></div>
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<span class="Apple-style-span"><span style="background-color: white; text-align: start;">Is <i>everybody</i> aware that:</span></span><br />
<span class="Apple-style-span"><span style="background-color: white; text-align: start;"><br /></span></span>
<span style="background-color: yellow;"><b>No one knows precisely at what point oil begins to substantially hinder consumer spending and slow commercial activity - but this much is known: <span style="color: red;">every $1 per barrel rise in oil decreases U.S. GDP by about $100 billion per year</span> and every 1 cent increase in gasoline decreases U.S. consumer disposable income by about $600 million per year.<span style="text-align: start;"> ?</span></b></span></div>
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<a href="http://guerillastocktrading.com/stock-market-funny-quotes/wp-content/themes/viralimagehub/images/memes/f33235d56efc3cacddf3b6755e02e693.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" src="http://guerillastocktrading.com/stock-market-funny-quotes/wp-content/themes/viralimagehub/images/memes/f33235d56efc3cacddf3b6755e02e693.png" /></a></div>
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<span style="text-align: start;">Source: </span><a href="http://www.guerillastocktrading.com/" style="text-align: start;">Guerilla Stock Trading</a></div>
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEif-GrMVldxb6EBxfzdeSlyLEvtDWuNIwDNYmgDFYy6TKuciQVQZ4yvP55Lms_6Rz-STGcglWo1Ez0TZxQYUaNJ_865TEKirsinoeZyUnE2_kfPgmYSGiQ-sivX5l4H6scstecWdpUE_Jk/s1600/recovery.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEif-GrMVldxb6EBxfzdeSlyLEvtDWuNIwDNYmgDFYy6TKuciQVQZ4yvP55Lms_6Rz-STGcglWo1Ez0TZxQYUaNJ_865TEKirsinoeZyUnE2_kfPgmYSGiQ-sivX5l4H6scstecWdpUE_Jk/s1600/recovery.png" /></a></div>
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<br />Unknownnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5004824816250911847.post-33372615701101579422013-01-21T00:56:00.004-08:002013-01-21T10:09:45.552-08:00Trade v 3.1 UpdateAt the start of the Asian open session, equities vigilantes were a shortin' again. <a href="http://garthturnergreaterfraud.blogspot.ca/2013/01/trading-overview-for-week-3.html">You were warned</a>..<br />
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<a href="http://garthturnergreaterfraud.blogspot.ca/p/anti-turner-etf.html">From the ETF page <span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: Georgia, Utopia, 'Palatino Linotype', Palatino, serif; font-size: 15px; font-weight: bold; line-height: 21px;"><span style="background-color: cyan; text-align: start;">Week 3 - 21-01-2012 </span></span></a><br />
<blockquote class="tr_bq">
<i><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: Georgia, Utopia, 'Palatino Linotype', Palatino, serif; font-size: 15px; line-height: 21px;"><span style="background-color: white; text-align: start;">This week four idiots will be trading the ETF along with their own activities, with trades in S&P/DOW, and gold & silver too if all goes to plan. They have been targeted with a 5% week each. </span></span><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: Georgia, Utopia, 'Palatino Linotype', Palatino, serif; font-size: 15px; line-height: 21px;"><span style="background-color: white; text-align: start;">Watch this space. </span></span></i></blockquote>
<span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: Georgia, Utopia, 'Palatino Linotype', Palatino, serif; font-size: 15px; line-height: 21px;"><span style="background-color: white; text-align: start;">The equities vigilantes are quick off the mark tonight, entries taken at:</span></span><br />
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<ul style="line-height: 1.4; margin-bottom: 0.5em; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0.5em; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 2.5em; padding-right: 2.5em; padding-top: 0px;">
<li style="margin-bottom: 0.25em; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-top: 0px; text-indent: 0px;"><b style="text-align: start;">S & P Short 37 contracts at 1485.4</b></li>
<li style="margin-bottom: 0.25em; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-top: 0px; text-indent: 0px;"><b style="text-align: start;">DOW Short 36 contracts at 13649 </b></li>
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<span style="background-color: yellow; text-align: start;"><b>30 point stops, risk per trade 1% (total risk 2%)</b></span><br />
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<b style="background-color: lime;">Update 21-01-2013</b></div>
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<span style="background-color: white;">Both trades edged into profit overnight, but </span><span style="background-color: white;">Idiots were hoping for a clearer pull away from this level overnight, and so although both </span><span style="background-color: white;">were initiated with a 30 pt stop, this morning this has been moved down to </span><span class="Apple-style-span" style="background-color: yellow;">15pts per trade = 1% account total risk @ 36/37 contracts.</span><span class="Apple-style-span" style="background-color: white;"> </span><span class="Apple-style-span" style="background-color: white;">If the market is going to run back up first Idiots would rather take a smaller hit and re-enter heavy</span></div>
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<span class="Apple-style-span" style="background-color: cyan;">Today, idiot traders are watching market action and thinking this.</span></div>
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So let's watch it play out and see if an utterly idiotic view of market action is correct in this instance..</div>
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There can be no gloating until TPs have been hit because the market can always have the last laugh until you are banked and closed out, but this is kind of what idiots were expecting thus far..</div>
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<b><a href="http://garthturnergreaterfraud.blogspot.ca/p/anti-turner-etf.html">Both stopped out - Full results of all trades in the ETF</a></b></div>
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<a href="http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2012-10-26/help-us-oh-kevin-henry-you-are-our-only-hope">Kevin Henry</a></div>
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Unknownnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5004824816250911847.post-57580013903174672352013-01-20T14:52:00.003-08:002013-02-03T06:35:47.668-08:00Week 3 Pre-Market Alert <div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
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This week as well as <a href="http://garthturnergreaterfraud.blogspot.ca/2013/01/trading-overview-for-week-3.html">trading equities from the short side</a> the AT_ETF Traders are also going to be trading Mr Turner's arch-nemesis duo, <a href="http://garthturnergreaterfraud.blogspot.ca/2013/01/garth-hates-gold-because-he-doesnt.html">XAU (gold)</a> & <a href="http://garthturnergreaterfraud.blogspot.ca/2013/01/the-idiots-guide-to-fabulous-riches.html">XAG (silver)</a> too, as Turner's down calls are still valid:<br />
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<i style="background-color: #eeeeee; color: #222222; font-family: Verdana, sans-serif; font-size: 13px; line-height: 20px; text-align: justify;">This is precisely the pattern I’ve been telling you for months to expect. Financial assets ascending<b>.</b> Real assets descending. Money surging from bonds to stocks. Commodities squished</i></blockquote>
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<span style="background-color: #eeeeee;"><i style="color: #222222; font-family: Verdana, sans-serif; font-size: 13px; line-height: 20px; text-align: justify;">So, your bond fund lost money this week. So did your house in Vancouver.</i> </span></blockquote>
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<i style="background-color: #eeeeee; color: #222222; font-family: Verdana, sans-serif; font-size: 13px; line-height: 20px; text-align: justify;">"And your </i><i style="background-color: #cccccc; color: #222222; font-family: Verdana, sans-serif; font-size: 13px; line-height: 20px; text-align: justify;"><a href="http://garthturnergreaterfraud.blogspot.ca/2013/01/the-idiots-guide-to-fabulous-riches.html">silver</a></i><i style="background-color: #eeeeee; color: #222222; font-family: Verdana, sans-serif; font-size: 13px; line-height: 20px; text-align: justify;"> and </i><i style="background-color: #bf9000; color: #222222; font-family: Verdana, sans-serif; font-size: 13px; line-height: 20px; text-align: justify;">gold."</i><i style="background-color: white; color: #222222; font-family: Verdana, sans-serif; font-size: 13px; line-height: 20px; text-align: justify;"> </i></blockquote>
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Proudly proclaiming to own no <a href="http://garthturnergreaterfraud.blogspot.ca/2013/01/the-idiots-guide-to-fabulous-riches.html">silver because of its volatility</a> seems a fairly bearish outlook, so obviously the ETF is bullish until proven otherwise. But <a href="http://garthturnergreaterfraud.blogspot.ca/2013/01/idiots1-fools0-week-two-trading-round-up.html">as noted here, it doesn't even really matter much which direction it goes</a> as the idiots will just attempt to keep taking slices out until it turns in their favor properly anyway. </div>
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Here's how the gold <a href="http://garthturnergreaterfraud.blogspot.ca/2013/01/how-idiots-get-trapped.html">market action</a> looks to certain idiots last week. Like we <i>might</i> *possibly* see a downdraft in fact. :) The idiots will most likely be looking for first a short, then a long, but there is no rush here nor set plans.</div>
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj5vmnjof2MWBkaj_g204CDmov48qK6AlXGcxHBGNPlEOl0s1CQewSv8wdnmf7RPU1WFb25bAXHLunR6T-Q6ayfywi9FkwTk1HGDhY-eU7tKDxKDVhHnvrzpS3yam6ejT8aps8s9Z3tExo/s1600/market-cycle.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj5vmnjof2MWBkaj_g204CDmov48qK6AlXGcxHBGNPlEOl0s1CQewSv8wdnmf7RPU1WFb25bAXHLunR6T-Q6ayfywi9FkwTk1HGDhY-eU7tKDxKDVhHnvrzpS3yam6ejT8aps8s9Z3tExo/s1600/market-cycle.png" /></a></div>
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This chart looks possibly a bit more urgent to some idiots, instead of the range-bound money-banking routine of gold above. Potentially looking for longs, possibly a short down first and reverse.<br />
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgfEpguHztDfwjz8VPZ78nib2eQkcPeFOj2T4AZUJ7yUCiBFkvow5xTtaFBg69vwlzaZBLfiNrUmtWCKQWKD-0bdKkyrd4aMNsAJE8bq9lluKa4eNOt63RGrm9ExQthUvNT6vHApFXOar4/s1600/silver-market-cycle.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgfEpguHztDfwjz8VPZ78nib2eQkcPeFOj2T4AZUJ7yUCiBFkvow5xTtaFBg69vwlzaZBLfiNrUmtWCKQWKD-0bdKkyrd4aMNsAJE8bq9lluKa4eNOt63RGrm9ExQthUvNT6vHApFXOar4/s1600/silver-market-cycle.png" /></a></div>
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Happy FadingGarthTurner everybody.<br />
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<b style="background-color: cyan;">Update 29th Jan 2013 - Here it is played out.. How<i>ever</i> could a bunch of total idiots have <i>known</i>? :) <a href="http://garthturnergreaterfraud.blogspot.ca/2013/01/the-idiots-guide-to-fabulous-riches.html">More details on Silver / silver - trading idiots and trades here</a></b><br />
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEh8eAgLpCoCFwAqrCvUx6ZxnpHCn7VY73St5Ae4ulBabeqP4yzVl4n_cuF0gU8OQGMoZwQWRNb6k1-qjEDV4knimE-10dGAqcR4d_W3Wl2Nqe3reFP_rakmqBPLzWk6INzj-gbbftZU1I0/s1600/silver-idiots-win-win.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEh8eAgLpCoCFwAqrCvUx6ZxnpHCn7VY73St5Ae4ulBabeqP4yzVl4n_cuF0gU8OQGMoZwQWRNb6k1-qjEDV4knimE-10dGAqcR4d_W3Wl2Nqe3reFP_rakmqBPLzWk6INzj-gbbftZU1I0/s1600/silver-idiots-win-win.png" /></a></div>
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<span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: Georgia, Utopia, 'Palatino Linotype', Palatino, serif; line-height: 21px;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: 'Times New Roman'; line-height: normal;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: Georgia, Utopia, 'Palatino Linotype', Palatino, serif; line-height: 21px;"><span style="background-color: cyan;">Some of the <a href="http://garthturnergreaterfraud.blogspot.ca/2013/01/the-idiots-guide-to-fabulous-riches.html" style="color: blue; text-decoration: initial;">real idiots silver trades</a> hit trailing stops on the remainder (01-31) at $31.71 (91pts) </span></span></span></span></div>
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<span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: Georgia, Utopia, 'Palatino Linotype', Palatino, serif; line-height: 21px;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: 'Times New Roman'; line-height: normal;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: Georgia, Utopia, 'Palatino Linotype', Palatino, serif; line-height: 21px;"><span style="background-color: cyan;">- </span></span><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: Georgia, Utopia, 'Palatino Linotype', Palatino, serif; line-height: 21px;"><span style="background-color: cyan;">For the sake of the ETF idiots will remain in, 20k long from $30.80 stop at breakeven.</span></span></span></span><br />
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<span style="background-color: cyan; font-family: Georgia, Utopia, 'Palatino Linotype', Palatino, serif; line-height: 21px;">Idiots think if you haven't got the idea by</span><span style="background-color: cyan;"><span style="font-family: Georgia, Utopia, 'Palatino Linotype', Palatino, serif; line-height: 21px;"> </span><i style="font-family: Georgia, Utopia, 'Palatino Linotype', Palatino, serif; line-height: 21px;">now</i><span style="font-family: Georgia, Utopia, 'Palatino Linotype', Palatino, serif; line-height: 21px;">,</span></span><span style="background-color: cyan; font-family: Georgia, Utopia, 'Palatino Linotype', Palatino, serif; line-height: 21px;"> you're always going to be a fool..</span></div>
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Unknownnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5004824816250911847.post-72530079677390932272013-01-20T04:59:00.000-08:002013-01-30T06:39:07.500-08:00The Idiot's Guide To Fabulous Riches From Silver <div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: justify;">
There is an idiot known to us as "SilverMan" who started buying large amounts in 2004-2005 and whose aggregate price was around $6.00 per Oz. He was the most prescient of these idiots by several years.</div>
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As we now approach the 10 year mark the straight bullion appreciation is 500+% at $32.xx per Oz. </div>
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Average annual gain = <b style="background-color: lime;">+50 ish % per year</b></div>
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEikpAIf49cVi1_SKBznj66qJ0oTZnnY775IWw5Qvv9xMPp4oSqeQIIVky-1qE3RjDi0HADPLD2jmGoSVZ9Ws-KYSs-vgVvOJaf340TrwdVW6sat6ycMKD8n4GOp0Zh5H3xL8dKUGE2cibY/s1600/idiots-silver.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEikpAIf49cVi1_SKBznj66qJ0oTZnnY775IWw5Qvv9xMPp4oSqeQIIVky-1qE3RjDi0HADPLD2jmGoSVZ9Ws-KYSs-vgVvOJaf340TrwdVW6sat6ycMKD8n4GOp0Zh5H3xL8dKUGE2cibY/s1600/idiots-silver.png" /></a></div>
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But he has a <i>completely</i> idiotic trading strategy that has multiplied this figure several times over in the same period. </div>
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjDnPFrsBHJzqBi2cehmcda2k1uOx1x3g73yOudkgIyFUczP85uaF-Bd1Q0-4a6p3dROkohvhTXvsT_aoBnxsV1-gqLlMHS_vmHXmOPCrfKLcltYXMOYKWzHgwR9jASJ4cWEN8DIngrbLs/s1600/idiots-silver2.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjDnPFrsBHJzqBi2cehmcda2k1uOx1x3g73yOudkgIyFUczP85uaF-Bd1Q0-4a6p3dROkohvhTXvsT_aoBnxsV1-gqLlMHS_vmHXmOPCrfKLcltYXMOYKWzHgwR9jASJ4cWEN8DIngrbLs/s1600/idiots-silver2.png" /></a></div>
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It's so simple any <strike>fool</strike> idiot could do it. When idiot is in permanently long position (owning physical) thats going up in a <i>relatively</i> straight line, (over a longer period) and is reasonably skilled in daytrading short entries, <i>all </i>he has to do is trade silver futures on the short side (ideally equivalent position size) and every time he closes out of a winning silver short trade<i> immediately buy more physical</i>, at the new lower price, with the extra cash. </div>
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The idiot doesn't need to trade silver on the long side at all, that's on auto-pilot, with no leverage and no risk of cash loss. In this way the idiot is not actually working to get more <i>cash</i>, he is instead stealthily adding further KGs to his<i> pile of silver</i> by using (the regular and violent) downward price movements to capture as much of the value that he technically lost on his physical as possible, and as he closes the short trade out in profit, is back into physical <i>at a beatdown discount</i>, usually by the time he wakes up again silver has snapped back and he's into profit on his new extra "long" Kilograms too. </div>
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<span class="Apple-style-span" style="background-color: cyan;">Many physical silver owners dread the stomach churning price drops, but this idiot <i>loves</i> them its what he <i>live</i>s for. </span></h3>
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Because, using <i>just</i> this method, and (considerable idiotic silver short trading skills honed over a good few years) the compound growth on his account is now approaching 2300% over the last decade. The idiot basically worked out how to consistently "buy low and sell high" using just silver.</div>
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<b style="background-color: lime;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: large;"><i>What</i> an extraordinary ******* idiot.</span></b><br />
<b style="background-color: cyan;">Edit: SilverMan saw his piece and commented on the Skype Group:</b><br />
<blockquote class="tr_bq">
<i>"Im sure it was more abusive than that when I sent it </i> [it was, and] </blockquote>
<blockquote class="tr_bq">
"<i>by the way my silver strategy is exactly what the big buyers from Asia are doing for the last 2 years" </i></blockquote>
..<i>And</i> a silver tip from the SilverMan himself for anyone who doesnt yet know whether they are an idiot or a fool, <a href="http://www.financeandeconomics.org/gold-futures-market-heading-for-crisis/">needs to read this</a> and have a very careful think about things moving forwards. Silverman says he can see this in price action already, and given <i>his</i> track record that's good enough for <i>this</i> bunch of idiots.<br />
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<b style="background-color: cyan;">Update Jan 28 : SilverMan's Strategy in Action (& a bunch of other idiots)</b><br />
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjBqhsrHEKW0RE0Yjq9f-rR1-YV0EoZbM4wbJ-3c_DFnhQwYviwOolqVLSu333LBV_0FCnztCUJcFafhUk0okEuIC9KxixJ2rN-uxp65G4IxE2UWt0LgvpICre4kyeCvWUc8UxRvlIoQ-I/s1600/silverman.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjBqhsrHEKW0RE0Yjq9f-rR1-YV0EoZbM4wbJ-3c_DFnhQwYviwOolqVLSu333LBV_0FCnztCUJcFafhUk0okEuIC9KxixJ2rN-uxp65G4IxE2UWt0LgvpICre4kyeCvWUc8UxRvlIoQ-I/s1600/silverman.png" /></a></div>
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<span class="Apple-style-span" style="background-color: cyan;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: large;">Update Jan 29th Trade into Profit..</span></span><br />
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjMqcybnqbF0D7pEQCQso1n3jyKCdeTojK2yGz-VbUpD066QO9fBg8FnmOkinkqcWewfYjdUzU4tu8VA5AMYOrtwO3QiDP11OgityHU7nxXhQJqdt2HQfjgxXBqs8TIc7AeI0kcGV9NjcM/s1600/silverman2.png" imageanchor="1" style="clear: left; float: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjMqcybnqbF0D7pEQCQso1n3jyKCdeTojK2yGz-VbUpD066QO9fBg8FnmOkinkqcWewfYjdUzU4tu8VA5AMYOrtwO3QiDP11OgityHU7nxXhQJqdt2HQfjgxXBqs8TIc7AeI0kcGV9NjcM/s1600/silverman2.png" /></a></div>
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<span class="Apple-style-span" style="background-color: cyan;">There is some <a href="http://garthturnergreaterfraud.blogspot.ca/2013/01/week-3-pre-market-alert.html">more thoroughly idiotic silver market commentary here</a>, and other than that the idiots will leave it there now, this is enough insight into the life of a real and <i>utter</i> idiot for anyone..</span><br />
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEivHWVPa-xOJGE3DQlIakeao1Cg9mAWbG2PcTdF-zxihJJMYxwuN1-BQ4d00Pliobg3hgpWzDGAaSqstzP9bk9fW-hlNLQqXLUuXSOyrl_Mv-a4mrXT9Fma18BJpp8oKqgJX1DN42OBd0Q/s1600/silver-100k-in-a-day.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEivHWVPa-xOJGE3DQlIakeao1Cg9mAWbG2PcTdF-zxihJJMYxwuN1-BQ4d00Pliobg3hgpWzDGAaSqstzP9bk9fW-hlNLQqXLUuXSOyrl_Mv-a4mrXT9Fma18BJpp8oKqgJX1DN42OBd0Q/s1600/silver-100k-in-a-day.png" /></a></div>
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgl8rKVO_2eJ2JCwrM0ncXZ6Opg17FggGL98eNdY1S_dUYDkjQl5n1ybEHSAVf7EvgBdDI_AjrdaYQThWEqOORO-MP-vJ3aUoKVzKJrkV3W14QLeZEfSMTp_Yq90l4Zls8G-oycYjNBpbg/s1600/silver-twits.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgl8rKVO_2eJ2JCwrM0ncXZ6Opg17FggGL98eNdY1S_dUYDkjQl5n1ybEHSAVf7EvgBdDI_AjrdaYQThWEqOORO-MP-vJ3aUoKVzKJrkV3W14QLeZEfSMTp_Yq90l4Zls8G-oycYjNBpbg/s1600/silver-twits.png" /></a></div>
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Unknownnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5004824816250911847.post-25433262173104009592013-01-19T16:06:00.002-08:002013-02-03T11:45:03.962-08:00Trading Overview for Week 3 <div style="text-align: justify;">
<span style="font-family: Georgia, Times New Roman, serif;">This chart is a short side trader's dream. If it were a 15min chart idiots would be getting itchy trigger fingers about now. As it is a daily, this will most likely take some days. And seriously, who in their right mind (carbon lifeform, not the<a href="http://garthturnergreaterfraud.blogspot.ca/2013/01/how-idiots-get-trapped.html"> algorithmic terminator sort</a>) would actually be buying here?</span></div>
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<tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjKl7r1e-b8x0N938Wzegxk00ipV-B0W_z9NPu9IULxZuyRExBaA7plzXQGqphl-u4Q5R8sya9pm1bcvN0dJDShT-CKWibGpdrIbmqDa8vyFyTVMT1gaWo2Wcbd3020S_NGOGMRtHk9Gz8/s1600/the-big-short.png" imageanchor="1" style="clear: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><span style="font-family: Georgia, Times New Roman, serif;"><img border="0" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjKl7r1e-b8x0N938Wzegxk00ipV-B0W_z9NPu9IULxZuyRExBaA7plzXQGqphl-u4Q5R8sya9pm1bcvN0dJDShT-CKWibGpdrIbmqDa8vyFyTVMT1gaWo2Wcbd3020S_NGOGMRtHk9Gz8/s1600/the-big-short.png" /></span></a></td></tr>
<tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: Georgia, Times New Roman, serif;">S&P ...lovely lovely lovely...</span></td></tr>
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<span style="font-family: Georgia, Times New Roman, serif; text-align: start;">Be advised <a href="http://garthturnergreaterfraud.blogspot.ca/p/anti-turner-etf.html">AT_ETF Traders</a> likely to be shorting this imminently, possibly even at the Asian open and overnight, as it also looks like this on the 15min (action) view. </span></div>
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiHgoAIEDwAufeWV3kbo0VcRzk_FOb-B7caZtaDV9N93DNA_JqUylvfj3GmyHmH3rHpqez_eh_BvSoSXvNtWLQog4Gn9yjYZ8uiDJ9t9m-bZmPa8294uI85rzPu6_dsmyAQ7mSXR3j2g5o/s1600/short-it.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><span style="font-family: Georgia, Times New Roman, serif;"><img border="0" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiHgoAIEDwAufeWV3kbo0VcRzk_FOb-B7caZtaDV9N93DNA_JqUylvfj3GmyHmH3rHpqez_eh_BvSoSXvNtWLQog4Gn9yjYZ8uiDJ9t9m-bZmPa8294uI85rzPu6_dsmyAQ7mSXR3j2g5o/s1600/short-it.png" /></span></a></div>
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<span class="Apple-style-span" style="background-color: yellow; font-family: Georgia, Times New Roman, serif;">
WARNING DO NOT TRY THIS AT HOME</span></h3>
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<b style="background-color: cyan;"><span style="font-family: Georgia, Times New Roman, serif;">Update a couple of weeks later, idiots think the matter of days is nearly up now..</span></b></div>
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Unknownnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5004824816250911847.post-22844940206381888352013-01-19T11:51:00.000-08:002013-01-21T14:18:38.471-08:00The Idiots Guide to Alternative Employment<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
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<tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjRqkUtDqu-h6nnoX6k3nJALQrud_ywU_o8YBwLQriQMrC5c0snr3GTKVhbUiDENR98iZ9vL96sZvO0T0kDNkdXKrLKoOVOjDQpTzyjsC3sAts-IkOEdkyBFDfih2OUXkHfXP22R5mUc_Q/s1600/idiotdesktop.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" height="240" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjRqkUtDqu-h6nnoX6k3nJALQrud_ywU_o8YBwLQriQMrC5c0snr3GTKVhbUiDENR98iZ9vL96sZvO0T0kDNkdXKrLKoOVOjDQpTzyjsC3sAts-IkOEdkyBFDfih2OUXkHfXP22R5mUc_Q/s640/idiotdesktop.png" width="640" /></a></td></tr>
<tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">A typical idiot's desktop</td></tr>
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You absolutely do <i>not</i> need multi monster screens to be a successful idiot, but its nice, once you can afford it.<br />
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On a more serious note, it turns out the idiots <a href="http://garthturnergreaterfraud.blogspot.ca/2013/01/the-idiots-guide-to-wealth-or-day.html"><i>were</i> only joking about opening a PAMM</a>.<br />
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If you don't know what that is <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Percent_allocation_management_module">(WIKI)</a> and cant be bothered to click the link, it's a communal trading account whereby anybody can put money in and profit or loss from the actions of one trader or trading establishment.</div>
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All the idiots here are at different levels of proficiency, but there is no doubt that winning against the markets consistently, is <i>hard. </i>And although this bunch of idiots are all confident enough to trade with our own money, trading with other peoples money adds extra pressure to the whole thing, and if you've never tried it anyway you have no comprehension about <i>just</i> how hard it is.<br />
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Hence we have a better idea, because although it is <i>really</i> hard, it<i> is</i> in fact possible. So if you are one of these <i>absolute</i> achievers, and think you might be able to master your emotions (you have no idea at this point whether this will be possible, until you have used your own real money and tried it) you just <i>might</i> be able to pull it off, and we wouldn't want to put interested parties off. </div>
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<i>So,</i> instead of a PAMM whereby this bunch of idiots trade it, how about all interested potential idiots go to a Forex broker, and open up a $100,000 <b>DEMO </b>account - <b>DO NOT, <span class="Apple-style-span" style="background-color: red;">REPEAT NOT</span></b><span class="Apple-style-span" style="background-color: red;"><b> put any real money into it,</b></span><span style="background-color: yellow;"> <b>ever</b>.</span></div>
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<b>Well, until you have been trading the demo account consistently profitably for six months <i>minimum</i>. </b>Because even then you may well blow up the first real account and lose the deposit anyway, (so make it a micro account, small money) because it's suddenly and <i>strangely, much</i> harder when idiots start to confront their emotions for the first time. </div>
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Then download MT4, log into your demo account, and you can play along fading Mr Turner with us?</div>
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That way any idiot who <i>really</i> wants to, might eventually be able to whoop a balanced portfolio in a week or two, all by themselves? brilliant eh? : )<br />
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For a laugh, watch a market for a while, and then try a trade yourselves, to <a href="http://garthturnergreaterfraud.blogspot.ca/2013/01/how-idiots-get-trapped.html">truly behold the money-banking perfection of the modern efficient market</a> (makers). Most Forex brokers do futures, you will need USA30 and USA500 to follow along with a maybe-perhaps-be-<i>so</i>-funny-if-so ..<i>epic</i> short trade in the next few months. <br />
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEg1yI58e0TCVu4pNMh8QXQwP5m4pou39-jj40krLx32cHese2eD2HiJ-hUrhzVTCoXAgEOndFbfhX4TddJ6krDyT66XJKO6bE26Ofe0cU0W50ADNxplKuCG4GZ9XcRL83r6gO-9SbLd1sc/s1600/nikkei.png" imageanchor="1" style="clear: right; float: right; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: 1em;"><img border="0" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEg1yI58e0TCVu4pNMh8QXQwP5m4pou39-jj40krLx32cHese2eD2HiJ-hUrhzVTCoXAgEOndFbfhX4TddJ6krDyT66XJKO6bE26Ofe0cU0W50ADNxplKuCG4GZ9XcRL83r6gO-9SbLd1sc/s1600/nikkei.png" /></a></div>
If Turners top does not ultimately hold by a significant deviation we will of course reassess, however we are prevented from trading long positions by a previous long call from <a href="http://garthturnergreaterfraud.blogspot.ca/2013/01/anti-turner-etf-theoretical-returns.html">the contrarian indicator</a> until we at <i>least</i> get a better price than at multi year highs. Mr Turner is being a bit reticent with the other macro calls we want though, (CAD, EUR, JPY etc) although as he just said yesterday:</div>
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<dt id="comment-218122" style="background-color: white; background-image: url(http://www.greaterfool.ca/wp-content/themes/copyblogger/images/comment_top.gif); background-position: 0px 100%; background-repeat: no-repeat no-repeat; color: #999999; font-family: Verdana, sans-serif; line-height: 1.8182em; margin: 0px; padding: 0px 0px 33px; text-align: start;"><span class="comment_num" style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px 0.3636em 0px 0px;"><a href="http://www.greaterfool.ca/2013/01/17/brilliant/#comment-218122" style="color: #7a0000; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; text-decoration: initial;" title="Permalink to this comment">#133</a></span> <strong style="color: black; margin: 0px; padding: 0px;">Stoopid Idiot </strong>on 01.18.13 at 10:56 am</dt>
<dd class="entry" style="background-image: url(http://www.greaterfool.ca/wp-content/themes/copyblogger/images/comment_bottom.gif); background-position: 0px 100%; background-repeat: no-repeat no-repeat; font-family: Verdana, sans-serif; line-height: 1.5385em; margin: 0px 0px 1.5385em; padding: 0px 20px; text-align: start; width: 428px;"><div style="background-color: #dfdfdf; color: #222222; margin-bottom: 1.1538em; padding: 0px;">
Don’t bet against the U.S.? (I’m Banking On It) </div>
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<a href="http://garthturnergreaterfraud.blogspot.ca/2013/01/what-garth-turner-doesnt-understand.html"><span style="background-color: #dfdfdf;">[</span><span style="background-color: yellow;">editor note</span><span style="background-color: #dfdfdf;"> various facts and maths, mostly summarized here</span></a><span style="background-color: #dfdfdf;">] </span></div>
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<em style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px;"><span style="color: red;">I am happy to have you on the other side of the trade. — Garth</span></em></div>
</dd><br />
We were<i> rather</i> hoping that's an open invitation, and maybe if the advice was a little more free-flowing we could even cut him in for a slice of the profits made <b><a href="https://twitter.com/AntiTurnerETF">#FadingGarthTurner</a></b></div>
Unknownnoreply@blogger.com3tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5004824816250911847.post-16356072663446965272013-01-19T01:51:00.002-08:002013-01-26T11:53:03.605-08:00Idiots:1 - Fools:0 - Week Two Trading Round Up<div style="text-align: justify;">
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjtVtC5Sfwtu-VP9b97Qjr0U9ubfa77tSPrT9pVlNUKXb8Zw5wa47EmZkq3_CFLMflFWZxYYEaWOmTM96ZWqCrEj-dZdwHIyrB709CNEx2BeXE1ovDhcUfiVaTh23yoiJlDCI6wayw_9i4/s1600/idiots%2526fools.png" imageanchor="1" style="clear: right; float: right; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: 1em;"><img border="0" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjtVtC5Sfwtu-VP9b97Qjr0U9ubfa77tSPrT9pVlNUKXb8Zw5wa47EmZkq3_CFLMflFWZxYYEaWOmTM96ZWqCrEj-dZdwHIyrB709CNEx2BeXE1ovDhcUfiVaTh23yoiJlDCI6wayw_9i4/s1600/idiots%2526fools.png" /></a></div>
Ok so apologies for some slight <a href="http://garthturnergreaterfraud.blogspot.ca/2013/01/atetf-idiots-hit-out-park.html">jubilance at the ETF headquarters last evening</a>, but as we had just busted out end-February's target in week 2 of January, maybe it can be forgiven. </div>
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<b>From: <a href="http://garthturnergreaterfraud.blogspot.ca/p/anti-turner-etf.html">Update 14 Jan 2013 - AT_ETF Idiots Trade 2</a></b><br />
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<blockquote class="tr_bq">
<i>A suitable target would be +10-20% of the account size from this call over the next few weeks..</i></blockquote>
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In this post a couple of idiots wanted to run through this week's trading statistics as they always do at the end of every week, and maybe shed a little light into the <a href="http://garthturnergreaterfraud.blogspot.ca/2013/01/the-idiots-guide-to-trading-stupid.html">world of the trading computer game as seen by <i>us</i> idiots</a>, because it's important for non-traders to understand. </div>
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Although this week yielded a decent enough return <b style="background-color: lime;">(+10.05%)</b><b> </b>the trading <i>results</i> were not <i>actually</i> all that good. Firstly last weeks trade stats.</div>
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<b style="background-color: cyan;">Trades taken: 7 </b> - each trade has three potential profit levels, or can be stopped out at breakeven or a loss</div>
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<b><u>Results</u></b></div>
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<ul>
<li><b>Trade + TP1: <span style="background-color: lime;"> 4 </span></b></li>
<li><b>Trade + TP2: <span style="background-color: lime;"> 1 </span></b></li>
<li><b>Trade + TP3: <span style="background-color: yellow;"> 0 </span></b></li>
<li><b>Stopped (even):</b><span style="background-color: yellow; font-weight: bold;"> 6 </span><span style="background-color: white;"><b> </b>- every single one of these was in profit, & gave it back holding out for more</span></li>
<li><b>Stopped (loss): <span style="background-color: red;"> 1 </span><span style="background-color: white;"> </span></b></li>
<li><b><span style="background-color: white;">Max total risk at any one time 4%. Usual risk 1-2% </span></b></li>
<li><b><span style="background-color: white;">Account +/- </span><span style="background-color: lime;">+10.05%</span></b></li>
<li><b style="background-color: white;">Total trades win rate: 4 / 7 or </b><b style="background-color: lime;">57%</b></li>
<li><b style="background-color: white;">Total (tranche) win rate 5 / 21 possible tranche wins =</b><b style="background-color: yellow;"> 23.8%</b></li>
<li><b style="background-color: white;">Max Risk / Real win ratio: 10.05 / 4 = </b><b style="background-color: lime;"> 2.51 : 1</b></li>
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What actually happened.</div>
<ul>
<li><b style="background-color: cyan; text-align: justify;">Trades 1 & 2 -14 Jan.</b><b style="background-color: white; text-align: justify;"> -</b><b style="text-align: justify;"><span style="background-color: white;">S&P </span><span style="background-color: lime;">TP1&2</span></b><span style="background-color: white; text-align: justify;">, 3rd tranche stopped </span><span style="background-color: yellow; text-align: justify;">@breakeven,</span><span style="background-color: white; text-align: justify;"> </span><span style="background-color: white; text-align: justify;">Dow stopped </span><span style="background-color: yellow; text-align: justify;">@ breakeven</span></li>
<li><b style="background-color: cyan; text-align: justify;">Trades 3 & 4 - 15/16 Jan</b><b style="text-align: justify;"><span style="background-color: white;"> -S&P hit </span><span style="background-color: lime;">TP1</span></b><span style="background-color: white; text-align: justify;"><b>,</b> <b>Dow hit </b></span><span style="background-color: lime; text-align: justify;"><b>TP1</b></span><span style="background-color: white; text-align: justify;"> then both stopped </span><span style="background-color: yellow; text-align: justify;">@ breakeven</span><span style="background-color: white; text-align: justify;"> on remainder</span></li>
<li><b style="background-color: cyan; text-align: justify;">Trade 5 - 16 Jan</b><span style="background-color: white; text-align: justify;"> - <b>S&P stopped out </b></span><span style="background-color: red; text-align: justify;"><b>- loss</b></span></li>
<li><span style="background-color: cyan; text-align: justify;"><b>Trades 6&7</b></span><span style="background-color: white; text-align: justify;"> - <b>S&P hit </b></span><span style="background-color: lime; text-align: justify;"><b>TP1</b></span><span style="background-color: white; text-align: justify;">, then scratched remainder and entire Dow</span></li>
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So we had 4 of 7 trades hit TP1, one of them went on to hit TP2, one loss, and multiple part tranches come back and get stopped out at zero. Did the floor fall out from under our shorts this week? No. Did we methodically bank money anyway, whilst waiting for a/the big win?<b> </b></div>
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<h3>
<span style="font-weight: normal;">There are really <i>two</i> things the idiots would like fools and observers to notice here. </span></h3>
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Firstly, that it is <i>entirely</i> possible to make money trading the wrong way against the trend, because the markets have trended <i>up</i> this week (in line with Turner's bullish call) and we have been trading down against the trend (because we think it will inevitably reverse <i>huge</i> at some point) <i>and</i> to make a point. </div>
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The point <i>is,</i> that idiots neither have to predict the future accurately to make money, nor even <i>care</i> which way the market is going, to extract up to 10% account size per week, <i>straight out of the accounts of fools.</i></div>
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Please bear in mind, a 10% win is a 10% win, if this same sequence of trades had taken place on a $10 million account, these idiots just live traded their way to a <b><span style="background-color: lime;">+$1,005,000 </span>win in one week. </b></div>
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Every trade setup was posted as quickly as we could get it up after entry, and updated as they ran, you have seen it all happen, real-time. Now the idiots are definitely not saying they make 10% a week every week, by any means. ..But <i>some</i> weeks.. </div>
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It's also notable that although all but one of these trades initially went in the right direction, almost all of them gave back more potential winnings that could have been cashed out at one point. Some idiots prefer to just go in heavy only looking for TP1 and fully out again, to maximize wins, and had the idiots done that, <i>this</i> week, the results would have been closer to +16%. </div>
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However, in other weeks, when several TP2 and TP3 targets are hit, banking ongoing tranches can make <i>significantly</i> more than jumping straight out, so waiting patiently for the 1 in 3 or 4 that do run on, and on, and just letting the <a href="http://garthturnergreaterfraud.blogspot.ca/2013/01/the-idiots-guide-to-risk-management.html">risk management maths</a> play out <i>can</i> ultimately yield more over the course of time. </div>
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This is <i>super</i> important, because although <i>this </i>week we only had one negative trade, if idiots take more losses, and do not wait patiently for the bigger winners, the risk management maths breaks and idiots lose money. </div>
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Idiots live in a world of confusing probabilities to navigate, and attempt to do it using simple mathematics and rules and <i>never</i> try to kid themselves or <i>anybody else</i> that they know the future. </div>
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<b>Fools actually <i>think they understand it all</i></b> and broadcast loudly: <b> "<a href="http://garthturnergreaterfraud.blogspot.ca/2012/12/the-unbelievable-arrogance-of-garth.html">There will not be..</a>" </b></div>
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<b>..whilst getting it wrong <i>continually</i> for <i>so</i> many years</b>, and <i>still</i> have the cheek to diss the idiots. </div>
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Its a funny old world, where <a href="http://garthturnergreaterfraud.blogspot.ca/2013/01/inflation-deflation-how-it-works.html">financial commentators can still get listened to and paid, and even on TV after getting everything <i>so wrong for so long</i></a>, the idiots think they are basically all just a bunch of voodoo newsletter-writing witchdoctors. </div>
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiQg7au6zbLSoFFImC0y6A4CjIwq4Z6crs09EkD22dRpFPMRCjmEJizDqTXqeR6tWkPcPGUJTWeeMUpLGiMK4Rjw4rEbF-fajtowtsiI7gAl73ZR2x8T8J1S_yLZ8C2H26E3pUhZxU5wu0/s1600/twitter2.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiQg7au6zbLSoFFImC0y6A4CjIwq4Z6crs09EkD22dRpFPMRCjmEJizDqTXqeR6tWkPcPGUJTWeeMUpLGiMK4Rjw4rEbF-fajtowtsiI7gAl73ZR2x8T8J1S_yLZ8C2H26E3pUhZxU5wu0/s1600/twitter2.png" /></a></div>
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<a href="http://garthturnergreaterfraud.blogspot.ca/p/anti-turner-etf.html">All Trades can be found here AT_ETF</a> and a chronological list of individual update posts as below, which all reference back to the ETF page. </div>
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<ul>
<li><a href="http://garthturnergreaterfraud.blogspot.ca/2013/01/at-etf-trade-2-win.html">http://garthturnergreaterfraud.blogspot.ca/2013/01/at-etf-trade-2-win.html</a></li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li><a href="http://garthturnergreaterfraud.blogspot.ca/2013/01/at-etf-trade-v23-alert.html">http://garthturnergreaterfraud.blogspot.ca/2013/01/at-etf-trade-v23-alert.html</a></li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li><a href="http://garthturnergreaterfraud.blogspot.ca/2013/01/candy-baby-fish-barrel-sitting-duck.html">http://garthturnergreaterfraud.blogspot.ca/2013/01/candy-baby-fish-barrel-sitting-duck.html</a></li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li><a href="http://garthturnergreaterfraud.blogspot.ca/2013/01/trade-update.html">http://garthturnergreaterfraud.blogspot.ca/2013/01/trade-update.html</a></li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li><a href="http://garthturnergreaterfraud.blogspot.ca/2013/01/atetf-trade-alert-v25.html">http://garthturnergreaterfraud.blogspot.ca/2013/01/atetf-trade-alert-v25.html</a></li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li><a href="http://garthturnergreaterfraud.blogspot.ca/2013/01/atetf-idiots-hit-out-park.html">http://garthturnergreaterfraud.blogspot.ca/2013/01/atetf-idiots-hit-out-park.html</a></li>
</ul>
Unknownnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5004824816250911847.post-75859363300160151292013-01-18T12:02:00.001-08:002013-01-19T04:27:52.896-08:00AT_ETF IDIOTS HIT IT OUT OF THE PARK!!<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjtVtC5Sfwtu-VP9b97Qjr0U9ubfa77tSPrT9pVlNUKXb8Zw5wa47EmZkq3_CFLMflFWZxYYEaWOmTM96ZWqCrEj-dZdwHIyrB709CNEx2BeXE1ovDhcUfiVaTh23yoiJlDCI6wayw_9i4/s1600/idiots&fools.png" imageanchor="1" style="clear: right; float: right; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: 1em;"><img border="0" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjtVtC5Sfwtu-VP9b97Qjr0U9ubfa77tSPrT9pVlNUKXb8Zw5wa47EmZkq3_CFLMflFWZxYYEaWOmTM96ZWqCrEj-dZdwHIyrB709CNEx2BeXE1ovDhcUfiVaTh23yoiJlDCI6wayw_9i4/s1600/idiots&fools.png" /></a></div>
A decent week? Yea not bad, had better.. ;) ..Title needs correction though, not <i>out </i>of the park, it hit the high fence and fell just inside.<br />
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Usually idiots don't close out of pre-planned strategy trades or the numbers go all wrong, but there are a few exceptions to this, primarily news, and at the end of the week, as if the market closes and you are still in positions, market makers can gap the price up/down, straight past your stoploss and help themselves to your account.<br />
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So as its nearing end of week trading we were considering whether to get out or not (we did, see pic)<br />
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEg5f0CCFhEqxTxzZ9yIoiC1X5rdAGRd6PGy_yk5zvbUPhUsLbtAnLHx-_A-kuICy8VKnb6zvTphjIAwlP0Lb6FpsiHswapdEkZKfjYQ2uTqz1MBdL4xTTi_caBYWO4UveNqm8c87weiyJ0/s1600/weekend.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="298" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEg5f0CCFhEqxTxzZ9yIoiC1X5rdAGRd6PGy_yk5zvbUPhUsLbtAnLHx-_A-kuICy8VKnb6zvTphjIAwlP0Lb6FpsiHswapdEkZKfjYQ2uTqz1MBdL4xTTi_caBYWO4UveNqm8c87weiyJ0/s640/weekend.png" width="640" /></a></div>
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This could reverse and run back into profit, but it could also get stopped, its 50/50 at this time of the day and the week, so we closed out the 35 Dow contracts ax 14 points and the remaining 15 S&P x 3(30) points.<br />
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<span class="Apple-style-span" style="background-color: lime;"><b>+$490 + $450</b></span>. Peanuts, hardly worth the time and effort.<br />
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<span class="Apple-style-span" style="background-color: yellow;"><b><i>Except,</i> when we added it up... <a href="http://garthturnergreaterfraud.blogspot.ca/2013/01/how-idiots-get-trapped.html">from the previous post :) </a> </b></span><br />
<span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: Georgia, Utopia, 'Palatino Linotype', Palatino, serif; font-size: 15px; line-height: 21px;"><b style="background-color: lime;">Trading account now at $109110 </b></span><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: Georgia, Utopia, 'Palatino Linotype', Palatino, serif; font-size: 15px; line-height: 21px;"><br /></span><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: Georgia, Utopia, 'Palatino Linotype', Palatino, serif; font-size: 15px; line-height: 21px;"><b style="background-color: lime;">- banked, non returnable and still with trades in positive open float.</b></span><br />
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<h3>
<span class="Apple-style-span" style="background-color: lime; font-weight: normal;">Which is <u><i>now </i></u></span><span class="Apple-style-span" style="background-color: lime;">+$490 + $450 = $</span><span style="background-color: lime;">11</span><span class="Apple-style-span" style="background-color: lime;">0,050 or +10.05% banked<span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-weight: normal;"> & secure in 1 week</span></span></h3>
Hahahahahahahahahahaha.<br />
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Did we <i>really</i> just almost outperform an entire 2012 years balanced portfolio growth in week 2 of trading? <br />
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Heh. Oh yes. You fools can kiss our idiotic asses. So we might take a week or two off, go skiing, lay on a beach, <i>or</i> we might come back and try to do it all over again next week..<br />
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<i>PS apologies for the initial mis-reading of 10% as 11% on first publication, and mirth obviously took over from that point on, we'll definitely bang that pesky 0.66% extra in before anybody goes off on vacations.</i>Unknownnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5004824816250911847.post-10630560323796714292013-01-18T08:07:00.000-08:002013-01-18T10:26:45.232-08:00How Idiots Get TrappedIdiot traps are everywhere, all around us, even now in this very room.<br />
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You can see them when you look out your window, or you turn on your television. You can feel them when you go to work, when you go to church, when you pay your taxes. They are the world that has been pulled over your eyes to blind you from the truth.<br />
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiKsxkhtm0VsCsATL5Bb4ByFCf36x1YBf6gDAVkmZ0VKopoqPEx3p890023FRUugDMWJ2pEwkHcs21PAVMd7-_wRjamA2lzwTJagfN44XR6uFtTlahT83tYBH6nNUZPsjoHYSk7AGcG39o/s1600/idiot-trap2.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="301" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiKsxkhtm0VsCsATL5Bb4ByFCf36x1YBf6gDAVkmZ0VKopoqPEx3p890023FRUugDMWJ2pEwkHcs21PAVMd7-_wRjamA2lzwTJagfN44XR6uFtTlahT83tYBH6nNUZPsjoHYSk7AGcG39o/s640/idiot-trap2.png" width="640" /></a></div>
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<b style="background-color: lime;">Whilst putting this picture below up the idiot's S&P trade also hit TP1 = +$1200 or 1.2ish%</b></div>
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<b style="background-color: lime;">Stops to breakeven with 15 contracts S&P and 35 Dow still in play.</b></div>
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<b style="background-color: yellow;">Total Account Risk Now $525 (0.5%)</b></div>
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<b style="background-color: lime;"><br /></b>
<b style="background-color: lime;"><br /></b>
<b style="background-color: lime;">Trading account now at $109110 </b><br />
<b style="background-color: lime;">- banked, non returnable and still with trades in positive open float.</b><br />
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<h3>
<b style="background-color: white;"><a href="http://garthturnergreaterfraud.blogspot.ca/p/anti-turner-etf.html">The Anti Turner ETF are <i>having it away</i>, just #FadingGarthTurner :)</a></b></h3>
Unknownnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5004824816250911847.post-74847735870315955172013-01-18T01:52:00.001-08:002013-01-20T11:34:16.811-08:00The Idiot's Guide to Trading Stupid Markets<div style="text-align: justify;">
There are <i>all</i> kinds of trading idiots, using every possible means of technical, fundamental and even astrology-based (really) trading systems out there, and indeed, this bunch have idiots have tried all sorts of strategies over time between them, but are really just taking their own view on price action these days, more than anything else.</div>
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This is how <i>this</i> bunch of idiots view market action, they attempt to envisage what the man driving the computer game from the <i>other</i> side will do, to always trap the maximum amount of stupids going the wrong way at all times. What would <i>we</i> idiots do to to entice fools to bet the wrong way? </div>
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<table align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto; text-align: center;"><tbody>
<tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiZ2MzfHT1W2SpsgkG1Kgvl1M4ZOnAaLxFYFM01xemuM2ZqgsBH2nuwcGAzAoe8ir8dai1hZT5Z4IrZpKmYN_Q6eLDpqHp2s5sqJ_OT3spnEfOYK3fL66pc769sAyOANK_J55KkjsTkOb0/s1600/markets-and-idiots.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" height="270" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiZ2MzfHT1W2SpsgkG1Kgvl1M4ZOnAaLxFYFM01xemuM2ZqgsBH2nuwcGAzAoe8ir8dai1hZT5Z4IrZpKmYN_Q6eLDpqHp2s5sqJ_OT3spnEfOYK3fL66pc769sAyOANK_J55KkjsTkOb0/s640/markets-and-idiots.png" width="640" /></a></td></tr>
<tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">Click for idiotic clarity</td></tr>
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Then just try very hard <i>not </i>to fall for<i> that..</i><br />
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<a href="http://guerillastocktrading.com/stock-market-funny-quotes/wp-content/themes/viralimagehub/images/memes/eba02aacf26d5d888dafc38c38d715fe.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" src="http://guerillastocktrading.com/stock-market-funny-quotes/wp-content/themes/viralimagehub/images/memes/eba02aacf26d5d888dafc38c38d715fe.png" /></a></div>
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<br />
..Watch carefully while the market hoovers the other stupid easy money, wait for the trap to spring, and commit the idiotic funds. Pretty simple really. Idiots dont actually even have to be right <i>that </i>often. If the gambling is kept at (eg) 4:1 and above risk:reward (easier said than done) then winning 1 in 4 bets, still winds up positive. If you then can win 1 in 2, you'll be a rich idiot pretty quickly.<br />
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgDVhhaghkQdAhjBwaapweat7bzNBe2OhV1z4rV0rqEIqy9EpbtKrDFYD-AQdIMCwpj1RAzBK7L5kzR2yfKi56n1GMkiAht0diFJK28vcVvEWSKsXudM01mMIOYICUWYtS7CYhTnIOWvgU/s1600/markets-and-idiots2.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="274" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgDVhhaghkQdAhjBwaapweat7bzNBe2OhV1z4rV0rqEIqy9EpbtKrDFYD-AQdIMCwpj1RAzBK7L5kzR2yfKi56n1GMkiAht0diFJK28vcVvEWSKsXudM01mMIOYICUWYtS7CYhTnIOWvgU/s640/markets-and-idiots2.png" width="640" /></a></div>
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There is nothing clever here going on at all, only an idiotic view of how markets work to take your money, that in itself, mostly works. Whether or not there is "a man" playing the other side of the screen, if you treat it that way, you have a lot more chance of not losing your ass every time you press the buttons. </div>
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It should also be noted, that plenty of other idiots (not us) who have been trading on the long side have had a much easier time of it and would have banked good money yesterday. They would have been selling out towards the highs, it's only <a href="http://garthturnergreaterfraud.blogspot.ca/2013/01/how-idiots-get-trapped.html">the Fools who think that equities have <i>anything</i> to do with the economy any more</a> and who are long-term buying near the top that the idiots are extracting money from here. </div>
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Being idiots, we are often wrong. The markets <i>could</i> explode higher, it will cost us 1% of the account to be wrong, and open float on the 2 trades is currently <b style="background-color: lime;">20pts (+/-) x 70 contracts = +$1400</b></div>
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<b style="background-color: lime;"><br /></b></div>
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<span class="Apple-style-span" style="background-color: white;">Not enough to think about banking (1.4 : 1 risk reward = BigNO-NO) the idiotic guide to wealth creation via the trading computer game only works when you<b> <i>let the idiotic maths play out.</i></b></span></div>
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<span class="Apple-style-span" style="background-color: white;"><i><br /></i></span></div>
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<span class="Apple-style-span" style="background-color: white;"><i><br /></i></span></div>
Unknownnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5004824816250911847.post-9377279404197285072013-01-17T13:17:00.003-08:002013-01-18T00:01:57.131-08:00AT_ETF Trade Alert v2.5Yet again idiots are shorting.. <a href="http://garthturnergreaterfraud.blogspot.ca/p/anti-turner-etf.html">See latest AT_ET Update</a> (bottom of page)<br />
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Just <i>look</i> at the big picture,<i> mouthwatering</i> on the short side, isnt it? : )<br />
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgk0McORT-mKZBDjjaix2obDr5PgvdpD1UwmNAAE48YNn1OQlCPt73i5FoZakk3rpOn8IfEsJWz6VmmkiE3tIFkElRgqtIXH36Lix_WzCumc9NJEHPQ1USCUd5J0Jwz02yPEe3totLmdWs/s1600/entries-weekly.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="272" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgk0McORT-mKZBDjjaix2obDr5PgvdpD1UwmNAAE48YNn1OQlCPt73i5FoZakk3rpOn8IfEsJWz6VmmkiE3tIFkElRgqtIXH36Lix_WzCumc9NJEHPQ1USCUd5J0Jwz02yPEe3totLmdWs/s640/entries-weekly.png" width="640" /></a></div>
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<span class="Apple-style-span" style="background-color: lime;">Update overnight action</span>.. both trades went into profit quickly and stop losses moved to zero on each last night. Today the (utter) idiots have opened the stop losses out again to 15 pips each, just above yesterdays highs, total account risk now 15x35x2 -<span class="Apple-style-span" style="background-color: yellow;"> $1050 or < 1%</span><span class="Apple-style-span" style="background-color: white;"> because if we were just pipped out at breakeven, re-entry can be difficult and for 0.5% risk @ 35 contracts/trade, the risk:reward prospects are still good.</span><br />
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEg49TUghk9M8yzyCW3npFH5hQQy1AYqoHmu7qqRwOzEgyL76zm2Jvu_i_QXs1-TNmaPvGDm_JtQsHtKopCGawLymZJFTWuv0npEZIjo7D53riUfMl9KkmFx89tsoe4TZ91udex7_ueTn0M/s1600/update-overnight.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="292" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEg49TUghk9M8yzyCW3npFH5hQQy1AYqoHmu7qqRwOzEgyL76zm2Jvu_i_QXs1-TNmaPvGDm_JtQsHtKopCGawLymZJFTWuv0npEZIjo7D53riUfMl9KkmFx89tsoe4TZ91udex7_ueTn0M/s640/update-overnight.png" width="640" /></a></div>
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The markets <i>have</i> now broken out past Turner's top by a deviation of 0.7-0.8%, but idiots are confident its just a minor glitch and will be back below the auspicious line fairly quickly. The probability is that this several day interlude will look just like a "hoovering" spike on a monthly chart, when all said and done.<br />
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgGbQq1WpdpkFf6SF_TrL0u5ay9eMtAIPQ0c01kDQarQO2DPyj3dKye7KzEls2NoosuyPMmg9GHEWH10i49tBZ6ffTix7_Mlzzid41QZ9oSFSXmZhhVfxqj9fHxo3H_z__MsRNHA01iBjs/s1600/dailies.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="274" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgGbQq1WpdpkFf6SF_TrL0u5ay9eMtAIPQ0c01kDQarQO2DPyj3dKye7KzEls2NoosuyPMmg9GHEWH10i49tBZ6ffTix7_Mlzzid41QZ9oSFSXmZhhVfxqj9fHxo3H_z__MsRNHA01iBjs/s640/dailies.png" width="640" /></a></div>
Unknownnoreply@blogger.com1tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5004824816250911847.post-72169020440350190212013-01-17T09:24:00.000-08:002013-01-17T14:13:30.143-08:00A Day in the Life of an AT_ETF Idiot <div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: justify;">
Er hem, cough, cough, <a href="http://garthturnergreaterfraud.blogspot.ca/2013/01/silver.html">SILVER</a>!! </div>
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiHdp-oJutdvE0tAZxbH8J7J2uoeJvcnC3olG5rujlCJFufrgAhPIBqj4V6WQv3vTSraOPeZkIxN1w5UA9XaUpo5zNtFBr4vfN9GtcdD9wMhGYC_12Jx0SFTv-kyL2ygki-iTFeMMLR6CU/s1600/silver2.png" imageanchor="1" style="clear: left; float: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiHdp-oJutdvE0tAZxbH8J7J2uoeJvcnC3olG5rujlCJFufrgAhPIBqj4V6WQv3vTSraOPeZkIxN1w5UA9XaUpo5zNtFBr4vfN9GtcdD9wMhGYC_12Jx0SFTv-kyL2ygki-iTFeMMLR6CU/s1600/silver2.png" /></a><br />
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Unlike fools who comment on things they know nothing about nor own, idiots usually have a substantial portion of their wealth in <a href="http://garthturnergreaterfraud.blogspot.ca/2013/01/silver.html">Silver</a>, from a few years ago, through to many years ago, and couldn't care less about "smackdowns" because when it gets low <i>enough</i>, they layer in more, confident in their (and qualified others') view of long -term market fundamentals. </div>
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As various idiots are up between approx $5k - $50k from just this chart above, they <i>are</i> therefore qualified to comment, having been <i>so</i> right, for <i>so</i> long.. Will it be different tomorrow? For sure. Is it still up many hundreds of percent from when most idiots got involved? Oh <i>yes.</i> </div>
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Are they selling any? Not until Turner starts openly buying. Yup, all looking <i>preeettty</i> bad for Silver.. : ) </div>
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEh1YVI9PHXzwGkrVu00QLRAqZf_U_43sMzvcENgk6xc9fKIsCeIRAcuqGHEzLBY9IFXB39e-Ng5pk8uAwoQXR8-LUU5PE5eJwhh3h5YzCAzn2SA7QRGrAAgQtS2HGnMDMxHrGT1ZraRDSg/s1600/silver-twits.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEh1YVI9PHXzwGkrVu00QLRAqZf_U_43sMzvcENgk6xc9fKIsCeIRAcuqGHEzLBY9IFXB39e-Ng5pk8uAwoQXR8-LUU5PE5eJwhh3h5YzCAzn2SA7QRGrAAgQtS2HGnMDMxHrGT1ZraRDSg/s1600/silver-twits.png" /></a></div>
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This is the worst part of what idiots do every day, try and control the urge to fire off before the market has confirmed and given the perfect entry.. When you do in haste, like <a href="http://garthturnergreaterfraud.blogspot.ca/p/anti-turner-etf.html">yesterday's S&P reload</a>, you generally get punished.</div>
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<table align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto; text-align: center;"><tbody>
<tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhV6LTr80PPhbi57pdrOZIt65WqWyOUrTMeWWD-EpaROAK0orC4Tws-nj9U3AARz76AQ-c3VHcu-occY1qLxofillu3y0QAQlQminvTybblktcdxc_4q99JUk5u5Rgdjg4zVfhYpX_IhyY/s1600/itchy-trigger-fingers.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" height="273" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhV6LTr80PPhbi57pdrOZIt65WqWyOUrTMeWWD-EpaROAK0orC4Tws-nj9U3AARz76AQ-c3VHcu-occY1qLxofillu3y0QAQlQminvTybblktcdxc_4q99JUk5u5Rgdjg4zVfhYpX_IhyY/s640/itchy-trigger-fingers.png" width="640" /></a></td></tr>
<tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: small;">"Turner's Top is gonna <i>hold</i> godammit, just <i>short</i> it already" :) </span></td></tr>
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiopCxW1xxsyAbcHwTCKm0D-nRZ21jYYrv0bzGZg_YpR4b0-Ri8sBDymO_-aTxDbd20P7Fki7Ra4YIqdPZzEGJPEfEA-uGUHh7cQO7E65Xb6WwEDCnYxZA3ZsusrJ5Qp91-WZ3oL-e5a4c/s1600/twitter.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiopCxW1xxsyAbcHwTCKm0D-nRZ21jYYrv0bzGZg_YpR4b0-Ri8sBDymO_-aTxDbd20P7Fki7Ra4YIqdPZzEGJPEfEA-uGUHh7cQO7E65Xb6WwEDCnYxZA3ZsusrJ5Qp91-WZ3oL-e5a4c/s1600/twitter.png" /></a></div>
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<br />Unknownnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5004824816250911847.post-45299244201368344102013-01-17T01:42:00.000-08:002013-01-20T08:44:28.322-08:00Work It Garth!<div style="text-align: justify;">
Turner working the <a href="http://garthturnergreaterfraud.blogspot.ca/2013/01/the-real-reason-garth-turner-blogs.html"><strike>lead generation tool</strike> blog</a> for new clients this morning.</div>
<blockquote>
<div style="text-align: justify;">
<i style="background-color: #eeeeee;"><span style="-webkit-text-size-adjust: auto; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; color: #222222; display: inline !important; float: none; font-family: Verdana, sans-serif; font-size: 13px; font-variant: normal; font-weight: normal; letter-spacing: normal; line-height: 20px; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; white-space: normal; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px;">"The trouble is, money can grow much faster in other non-scary assets, so if the goal’s paying down debt, why make extra mortgage payments? </span> </i></div>
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<div style="text-align: justify;">
<i style="background-color: #eeeeee;"><span style="-webkit-text-size-adjust: auto; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; color: #222222; display: inline !important; float: none; font-family: Verdana, sans-serif; font-size: 13px; font-variant: normal; font-weight: normal; letter-spacing: normal; line-height: 20px; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; white-space: normal; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px;">A balanced portfolio of fixed income and growth assets (no stocks or mutual funds) with 40% in safe stuff (like preferreds) has yielded 8% over the last three years and popped into double digits last year. </span> </i></div>
</blockquote>
<blockquote>
<div style="text-align: justify;">
<span style="-webkit-text-size-adjust: auto; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; color: #222222; display: inline !important; float: none; font-family: Verdana, sans-serif; font-size: 13px; font-variant: normal; font-weight: normal; letter-spacing: normal; line-height: 20px; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; white-space: normal; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px;"><i style="background-color: #eeeeee;">Why not enjoy a five-year mortgage term with cheap payments, sticking it to the bank, while growing your extra money by 50% to trash the loan upon renewal?"</i></span></div>
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Blatantly pumping his services and performance is what the idiots have come to expect from Turner after spending the time to research his record thoroughly, however lets look at it properly.<br />
<blockquote class="tr_bq">
<i style="background-color: #eeeeee;"><span style="-webkit-text-size-adjust: auto; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; color: #222222; display: inline !important; float: none; font-family: Verdana, sans-serif; font-size: 13px; font-variant: normal; font-weight: normal; letter-spacing: normal; line-height: 20px; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; white-space: normal; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px;">"The trouble is, money can grow much faster in other non-scary assets, so if the goal’s paying down debt, why make extra mortgage payments? </span></i></blockquote>
Because that way your debt <i>definitely</i> gets paid off? You don't risk <i>losing</i> on that money and still owing the mortgage? </div>
<blockquote class="tr_bq">
<div style="text-align: justify;">
<i><span style="-webkit-text-size-adjust: auto; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; background-color: #eeeeee; color: #222222; display: inline !important; float: none; font-family: Verdana, sans-serif; font-size: 13px; font-variant: normal; font-weight: normal; letter-spacing: normal; line-height: 20px; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; white-space: normal; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px;">A balanced portfolio of fixed income and growth assets (no stocks or <a href="http://garthturnergreaterfraud.blogspot.ca/2013/01/garth-turners-mutual-fund-flip-flopping.html">mutual funds</a>) with 40% in safe stuff (like preferreds) has yielded 8% over the last three years and popped into double digits last year. </span></i></div>
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Two <i>slight</i> inaccuracies here, the "balanced portfolio" <a href="http://www.raymondjames.com/branches/custom/turnertomensonwmg/pdfs/YEAR_END_REPORT.pdf">results he speaks of are here</a> and screenshot below..</div>
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj-3rixouChLyFRxhKXDZwI5gjAxXPRbm8Hue7dhUmwMCVUGRJIqY_ElA7guOYcZ9jNRt2GIWColFCOXmx7sscJsEG0rvW0_YvNmZMqAQvhiURkON3ytQJ2IgYDuAI_clv2Bfe63TnYZeQ/s1600/balanced-portfolio.png" imageanchor="1" style="clear: right; float: right; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: 1em;"><img border="0" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj-3rixouChLyFRxhKXDZwI5gjAxXPRbm8Hue7dhUmwMCVUGRJIqY_ElA7guOYcZ9jNRt2GIWColFCOXmx7sscJsEG0rvW0_YvNmZMqAQvhiURkON3ytQJ2IgYDuAI_clv2Bfe63TnYZeQ/s1600/balanced-portfolio.png" /></a><i><span style="-webkit-text-size-adjust: auto; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; background-color: #eeeeee; color: #222222; display: inline !important; font-family: Verdana, sans-serif; font-size: 13px; font-variant: normal; font-weight: normal; letter-spacing: normal; line-height: 20px; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; white-space: normal; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px;">with 40% in safe stuff (like preferreds) </span></i></div>
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And 60% <i>non</i> "safe stuff", which is where the <b style="background-color: red;">4.74% "<i>negative</i> growth"</b> came from in 2011?</div>
<blockquote class="tr_bq">
<div style="text-align: justify;">
<span class="Apple-style-span" style="background-color: #eeeeee;">"<i><span style="-webkit-text-size-adjust: auto; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; color: #222222; display: inline !important; font-family: Verdana, sans-serif; font-size: 13px; font-variant: normal; font-weight: normal; letter-spacing: normal; line-height: 20px; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; white-space: normal; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px;">yielded 8% over the last three years "</span></i></span></div>
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Weasel sales words, carefully skirting around the fact that <span class="Apple-style-span" style="background-color: red;"><b>2011 was a negative year</b></span><b style="color: red;"> </b>for a "balanced" portfolio, it most certainly did not yield 8% <i>that</i> year.<br />
<br />
What irritates this bunch of idiots about presentation in this fashion is the implication that this growth is permanent, and that one major meltdown out of the blue can't remove the whole three years"growth" in a few days, <i><b>because it can.</b></i> </div>
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Which really begs the question:</div>
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<br /></div>
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"<i>just</i> <a href="http://garthturnergreaterfraud.blogspot.ca/2013/01/the-idiots-guide-to-risk-management.html"><i>how</i> safe is a balanced portfolio</a>"?</div>
<blockquote class="tr_bq">
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<i><span style="-webkit-text-size-adjust: auto; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; background-color: #eeeeee; color: #222222; display: inline !important; font-family: Verdana, sans-serif; font-size: 13px; font-variant: normal; font-weight: normal; letter-spacing: normal; line-height: 20px; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; white-space: normal; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px;">"and popped into double digits last year. "</span></i></div>
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Objection! - er, no, again, <i>technically</i>, it didn't, - it "popped" into double digits <i>this </i>year. </div>
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On the <a href="http://garthturnergreaterfraud.blogspot.ca/2013/01/interesting.html">1st of Jan 2013 it was 9.22%, <b>only on the 2nd Jan</b> did it suddenly return 10.71%</a> </div>
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiOcK5yh-CKyknRD9ZL6BhTbre7G9E-SqNlD_7aCvHHzN9QAIZqN6LNm5mDArb69JNOd7PcAgZf3sryrTAPkS2IkJQlcF0DSQScyw3YhivQdH9R_z5VFAw1R59dbX6OiV4uWw_aCe6WgDs/s1600/2010-2012.png" imageanchor="1" style="clear: right; float: right; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: 1em; text-align: justify;"><img border="0" height="182" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiOcK5yh-CKyknRD9ZL6BhTbre7G9E-SqNlD_7aCvHHzN9QAIZqN6LNm5mDArb69JNOd7PcAgZf3sryrTAPkS2IkJQlcF0DSQScyw3YhivQdH9R_z5VFAw1R59dbX6OiV4uWw_aCe6WgDs/s200/2010-2012.png" width="200" /></a></div>
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So lets look at what else you could have done over the period 2010 to 2012.<br />
<br />
The idiot's standard to compare performance to is a combined basket of 50:50 Gold:Silver, because if you can't beat that, why would you even <i>bother </i>doing anything else at all?</div>
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<br /></div>
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Why would <i>anyone </i>expose themselves to <a href="http://garthturnergreaterfraud.blogspot.ca/2013/01/the-idiots-guide-to-risk-management.html">permanent digital market risk</a> in a <i>very</i> risky world, when they could own the one asset class that is free of counterparty risk and has outperformed all others over the previous decade? Why? ..<i>anyone</i>? : ) (<a href="http://garthturnergreaterfraud.blogspot.ca/2012/12/garth-turner-on-precious-metals.html">"it's a bubble" nonsense debunked here</a>)</div>
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<br /></div>
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So <i>our</i> (superior) balanced portfolio returned:</div>
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<br /></div>
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<b><span class="Apple-style-span" style="background-color: lime;">51.5%</span> in 2010</b></div>
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<b><span class="Apple-style-span" style="background-color: yellow;">+</span><span class="Apple-style-span" style="background-color: lime;">4.5%</span> in 2011</b></div>
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<b><span class="Apple-style-span" style="background-color: lime;">7.0% </span> in 2012</b> <b>for a three year average of 63/3 = 21% per annum. </b></div>
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<span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-weight: bold;"><br /></span></div>
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Therefore,<i> these</i> idiots would not even <i>consider</i> day trading funds unless they were confident they could <i>easily</i> best 20%+ per annum, otherwise, why would <i>any</i> idiot bother?<br />
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</div>
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Happily, as the idiots have already shown <a href="http://garthturnergreaterfraud.blogspot.ca/p/anti-turner-etf.html">with a mere <i>two days</i> of idiotic trading, the Anti_Turner ETF</a> account is now <span class="Apple-style-span" style="background-color: lime;"><b>+7.9% (banked, ie non-returnable) on the year</b></span> with a small DOW short still in play currently. </div>
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<span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-weight: bold;"><br /></span></div>
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So as the data seems to show that any old idiot can easily outperform a <a href="http://garthturnergreaterfraud.blogspot.ca/2013/01/balanced-portfolio-trading-strategy.html">balanced portfolio</a>, over a medium duration (3+ years, try it, pick <i>any</i> 3 [completed, ie not 2013] consecutive years from the table and the 3yr average is more than 8%) just by buying and holding <i>inert</i> metals, and another bunch of idiots can <a href="http://garthturnergreaterfraud.blogspot.ca/p/anti-turner-etf.html">bank 8% from a few trades in <i>two days</i></a>, (<a href="http://garthturnergreaterfraud.blogspot.ca/2013/01/idiots1-fools0-week-two-trading-round-up.html">which did not even all win, by the way</a>) then Mr Turner's idea of a balanced portfolio, that leaves your entire worth permanently exposed to <i>market risk</i> and to <i>counterparty risk</i> (your brokers or <i>their</i> brokers or <i>their</i> brokers going down) <i>at all times, </i>for entirely <i>average</i> returns, <i><a href="http://garthturnergreaterfraud.blogspot.com.es/2013/01/inflation-deflation-how-it-works.html">that do not even cover the real rates of inflation</a></i>.. ?</div>
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Well, lets just say this bunch of idiots <i>wouldn't</i> be very happy about the idea of committing (never mind borrowing) money (or re-mortgaging their homes) to do <i>that</i>..<br />
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<b>PS. It should also be definitely noted</b>, we have nothing whatsoever against Mr Tomenson, we do not know him, nor does he seem to have any 30 year record of incorrect predictions to (counter) back him up. As moderately successful idiot daytraders our views on markets and investments are somewhat counter to <i>most</i>, in this regard however, only time will prove which was the better approach. We entirely expect that he is the brains behind the outfit, and in all liklihood is most probably <a href="http://garthturnergreaterfraud.blogspot.ca/2013/01/fading-garth-turners-financial-advice.html">fading Turner's financial advice</a> too. If not, then we would suggest a closer look at this strategy, because data suggests that it would make <i>much</i> more than 8% per year.<br />
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What we primarily object to is Turner's pumping of this strategy as:<br />
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<b>a)</b> his own</div>
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<b>b)</b> how "clever" investors have <i>always</i> done it</div>
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<b>c)</b> his constant derision of assets that consistently outperform <i>his</i> suggestions</div>
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<b>d)</b> his lack of apologies, EVER that we can find, for all his bad advice / financial damage done in the past, and </div>
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<b>e)</b> his aligning of somebody else's portfolio's relative success over the last three years, with literally <i>anything</i> he has said prior to that.. </div>
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<a href="http://garthturnergreaterfraud.blogspot.ca/p/speaking.html"><img border="0" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEi0Q0qrMcU9tZTJ3hdXms7VowwFb6wSY5kgr1KMbe471xxGKHbu-sSIfR3RkWTL-UyEToH_aHtReOgGTCWPm0fPyaYbJOglPzU_tDhkc-OcjzVRkDY_mfeb8YOYOKHdH94VM5DG7_J804s/s1600/macro.png" /></a></div>
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